TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, New York Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$699,062
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$732,046

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $699,062 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays50c153,266$76,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,633.041,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a7…4a1dbacked New York Yankees38c52,632$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3170…c6a0backed New York Yankees50c50,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed New York Yankees6c39,776$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,386.5685645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees31c33,099$10,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,165.2411,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked New York Yankees50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00016548.5%80 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays65c17,119$11,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,014.382,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf0…728fbacked New York Yankees9c15,579$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.081233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3936…6e40backed New York Yankees2c12,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick19cpaid+126.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked New York Yankees50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed New York Yankees49c9,854$4,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,828.5360043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays75c9,423$7,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.8495045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays76c8,301$6,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.9610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6af4…ec95backed New York Yankees2c8,262$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.23425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce36…2b99backed New York Yankees28c7,571$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.237132.4%23 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees50c6,290$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,145.14,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5911…a5a8backed Toronto Blue Jays51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.351442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Toronto Blue Jays51c4,116$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.8533554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x022c…5ef0backed New York Yankees50c3,800$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed New York Yankees7c3,548$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.1516814.3%24 W · 144 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked New York Yankees3c3,250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90504%2 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed New York Yankees3c3,250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90523.8%2 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e8…9490backed New York Yankees3c3,250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90420%0 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed New York Yankees3c3,200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88553.6%2 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees12c2,901$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.858,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c56…68b2backed Toronto Blue Jays59c2,570$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.71553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e50…0ea8backed New York Yankees2c2,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60577%4 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+83%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b0…5e5ebacked New York Yankees3c2,200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58180%0 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked New York Yankees50c2,196$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.0448147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd403…a817backed New York Yankees2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40219.5%2 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays77c1,997$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.588,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9766…a41dbacked New York Yankees15c1,949$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.1730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked New York Yankees50c1,938$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.814841.2%61 W · 87 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays76c1,763$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.712,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea0d…a484backed New York Yankees50c1,720$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees50c1,712$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.096,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Toronto Blue Jays62c1,686$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.5579442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed New York Yankees50c1,661$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.4825248.8%123 W · 129 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees49c1,357$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.781,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Yankees18c1,253$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.571,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed Toronto Blue Jays51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.477564%48 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed New York Yankees51c1,176$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015447.4%73 W · 81 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Yankees50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55069453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays79c1,017$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.849,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked New York Yankees24c1,001$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.5858746%270 W · 317 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98fc…a4a2backed New York Yankees50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked New York Yankees49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49030647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed New York Yankees49c999.96$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.989655.2%53 W · 43 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Toronto Blue Jays78c943.63$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2685148.5%413 W · 438 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dae…72febacked New York Yankees50c892.14$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.073855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed New York Yankees13c885.71$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11810625.5%27 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked New York Yankees19c856.4$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8679955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees9c794.61$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.982,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays49c785$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.461,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed New York Yankees15c771.81$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.363525.7%9 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Yankees13c711.74$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.934,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays71c696.14$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.7312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed New York Yankees8c688.89$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574814.6%7 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed New York Yankees12c668.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809828.6%28 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29416644.6%74 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed New York Yankees50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011150.5%56 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed Toronto Blue Jays61c538.89$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.073844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed New York Yankees26c520.42$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.311127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed New York Yankees33c500$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.51,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed New York Yankees49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24522448.7%109 W · 115 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Toronto Blue Jays51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.232157%183 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Toronto Blue Jays51c464.33$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5237857.4%217 W · 161 L+1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked New York Yankees13c458.21$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.815340.5%62 W · 91 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked New York Yankees23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047345.7%216 W · 257 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked New York Yankees3c416.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0817…de6fbacked New York Yankees23c412.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.392045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked New York Yankees19c402$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8352053.8%280 W · 240 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked New York Yankees50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80eb…21d5backed New York Yankees50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ebb…2b75backed New York Yankees49c399.97$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.998148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b3…33efbacked Toronto Blue Jays51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.167860.3%47 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Toronto Blue Jays51c392$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.081,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc146…10d7backed New York Yankees42c378.81$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc2…6b8dbacked New York Yankees51c374.07$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed New York Yankees23c349.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.516253.1%86 W · 76 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed New York Yankees50c330$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16528751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Yankees50c323$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.52,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Toronto Blue Jays76c321.39$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9560348.6%293 W · 310 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc306…accdbacked Toronto Blue Jays48c309.18$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.775474.1%40 W · 14 L+9.7wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+31.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed New York Yankees7c305.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4444058.9%259 W · 181 L+29.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Toronto Blue Jays47c303.14$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.671,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed New York Yankees30c300.82$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1115851.9%82 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked New York Yankees50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021955.3%121 W · 98 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…245ebacked New York Yankees16c298.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.764362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked New York Yankees50c297$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.528753.3%153 W · 134 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f98…cb91backed New York Yankees16c293$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.893751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd47d…322bbacked New York Yankees20c286.07$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2113552.6%71 W · 64 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed New York Yankees34c284.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7531957.4%183 W · 136 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Toronto Blue Jays72c282.33$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0348660.5%294 W · 192 L+40.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e55…a332backed New York Yankees50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407050%35 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed New York Yankees26c275.74$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.083,45651.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L+107.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked New York Yankees49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.524246.7%113 W · 129 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5735…9f18backed New York Yankees52c250$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1294573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+24.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Toronto Blue Jays79c246.27$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7215851.9%82 W · 76 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Toronto Blue Jays77c245.96$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.815,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.