TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$295,301
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$295,041

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,301 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over53c212,641$112,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,564.7846949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over51c45,393$23,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,242.4386548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under47c35,292$16,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,587.2471650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under47c31,973$15,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,046.431,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Under49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,70026054.2%141 W · 119 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under47c23,372$10,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,9854,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c20,833$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Under48c20,500$9,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,84027452.6%144 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under49c12,909$6,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,261.833,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under47c10,307$4,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,844.5115451.9%80 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over30c10,027$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,973.018,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under47c7,809$3,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,670.3577647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Under47c6,924$3,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,254.093154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under49c5,657$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,743.7245252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3501,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under48c4,800$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,29045748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c4,351$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.9112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over45c4,334$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,375.712,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under50c4,278$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.7839047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c4,100$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92732152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Under47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88012939.5%51 W · 78 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c3,461$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.896,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under49c2,847$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.221,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under47c2,664$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.082,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under58c2,631$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.892,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c2,423$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.458,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under66c2,245$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.6411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c2,184$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.2610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00049158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under47c2,048$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.562,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Under47c1,765$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.3628751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under48c1,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.161,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,604$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.75,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Under39c1,381$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under47c1,193$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.7148339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under49c1,111$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.391,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc279…6465backed Under47c813.09$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.844250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under63c810.81$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.811,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c745$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.151,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x457f…aa1abacked Over51c607.69$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.77580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under47c590.85$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.722050.5%111 W · 109 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c573.14$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.381,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over50c560.08$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.0447545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Under48c499$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.6115340.5%62 W · 91 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over59c490$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.351,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under48c479$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.921,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…2b75backed Over53c425.92$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.188148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under49c416.67$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.1756253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under48c401$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4745045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2470…dc4dbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Over52c391.87$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.121550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b3…33efbacked Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.627860.3%47 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Under48c342.09$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4727448.2%132 W · 142 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c54…bebbbacked Under59c334.98$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.646354%34 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Under49c288$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.129446.8%44 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Under56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under47c234.05$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11038551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over58c231.32$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.52,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10081257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889650%48 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Under47c198.26$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.189248.9%45 W · 47 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ac…0269backed Under49c197.59$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under63c177.65$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.261,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ae…d117backed Under48c160$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.813345.9%61 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c142.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.42,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under47c138$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8654642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under52c132.32$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5817647.2%83 W · 93 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under62c128.55$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.71,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under46c119.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8931957.4%183 W · 136 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under48c116.24$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.658352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e9…7302backed Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.383855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under48c115.38$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3820350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013344.4%59 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015147.7%72 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011441.2%47 W · 67 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over32c103.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.012,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4799447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under50c96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8426857.1%153 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Under52c95.02$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3727244.9%122 W · 150 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under47c93.68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0340341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under47c88.72$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0121449.5%106 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Under34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c4…85c2backed Under47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over59c81.41$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.139,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Under49c79.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1119555.9%109 W · 86 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over32c68.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.232,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Over51c65.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8640048.5%194 W · 206 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under47c64.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.41,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3212752%66 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…62eabacked Under48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024248.8%118 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.678854.6%430 W · 358 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under49c59.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under47c59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7317645.5%80 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over49c58.92$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0510246.1%47 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under47c55.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.169755.7%54 W · 43 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under47c51.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2467453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259642.7%41 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.