MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e9ae160b47040ae6a4695b4523a6337141a876667f3231c9cd44967dabdb0ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $295,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 53c | 212,641$112,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,564.78 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 51c | 45,393$23,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,242.43 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 47c | 35,292$16,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,587.24 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 47c | 31,973$15,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,046.43 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 23,372$10,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,985 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Under | 48c | 20,500$9,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,840 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 12,909$6,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,261.83 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 47c | 10,307$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.51 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 30c | 10,027$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,973.01 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 47c | 7,809$3,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,670.35 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Under | 47c | 6,924$3,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,254.09 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 49c | 5,657$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.72 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 48c | 4,800$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 4,351$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 45c | 4,334$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.71 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 50c | 4,278$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.78 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 4,100$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 3,461$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.89 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 49c | 2,847$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.22 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 47c | 2,664$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.08 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 58c | 2,631$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.89 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 2,423$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.45 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 66c | 2,245$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.64 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 2,184$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 2,048$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.56 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 47c | 1,765$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.36 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.16 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 1,604$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.7 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Under | 39c | 1,381$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 1,193$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.71 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.39 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed Under | 47c | 813.09$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.84 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 63c | 810.81$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.81 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 745$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…aa1abacked Over | 51c | 607.69$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 47c | 590.85$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.7 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 573.14$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.38 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 50c | 560.08$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.04 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Under | 48c | 499$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.61 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 59c | 490$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.35 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 48c | 479$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.92 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Over | 53c | 425.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.18 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 49c | 416.67$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.17 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 48c | 401$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.47 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…dc4dbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 52c | 391.87$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 48c | 342.09$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.47 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Under | 59c | 334.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.64 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Under | 49c | 288$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Under | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 47c | 234.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 58c | 231.32$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 47c | 198.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…0269backed Under | 49c | 197.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 63c | 177.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Under | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 142.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 47c | 138$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 52c | 132.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 62c | 128.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 46c | 119.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 48c | 116.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…7302backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 48c | 115.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 32c | 103.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Under | 52c | 95.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 47c | 93.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 47c | 88.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Under | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 59c | 81.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 49c | 79.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 32c | 68.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Over | 51c | 65.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 47c | 64.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over | 49c | 58.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 47c | 55.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesToronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.