CS2 · resolved market
Will Vitality win the ESL Grand Slam at IEM Rio?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb98a759434c8388768f47a161cb65d91434fa8e1def31134bc3f1634a4bbe282
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked Yes | 72c | 4,148$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.54 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked No | 28c | 3,957$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.1 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked No | 33c | 2,996$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.56 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 51c | 2,581$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.35 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Yes | 65c | 1,805$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.14 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,803$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.94 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed No | 40c | 1,683$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.62 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…294abacked No | 50c | 961.96$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.39 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 60c | 416$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Yes | 76c | 394.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf076…4079backed Yes | 48c | 310.72$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 46c | 289.19$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked Yes | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 37c | 240.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 184 | 61.4%113 W · 71 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c7…9e78backed No | 23c | 239.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…107abacked Yes | 60c | 181.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fff…d78cbacked No | 54c | 178.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…e741backed Yes | 58c | 176.81$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.65 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Yes | 71c | 156.55$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…5eb1backed Yes | 69c | 146.38$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed No | 35c | 132.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 57c | 126.09$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…e6fbbacked No | 51c | 124.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0991…ff3dbacked Yes | 57c | 109.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddc…be18backed Yes | 65c | 108.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ac…86e8backed Yes | 49c | 106.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Yes | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 590 | 55.6%328 W · 262 L | +23.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…5856backed No | 40c | 97.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…ebe5backed No | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…e864backed Yes | 54c | 92.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 80.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…27bebacked Yes | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes | 67c | 69.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Yes | 65c | 68.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 873 | 51.2%447 W · 426 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 56c | 59.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 62c | 55.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e08…59d2backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…feb7backed No | 52c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Yes | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd012…be8cbacked Yes | 47c | 40.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed No | 66c | 38.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 142 | 62%88 W · 54 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed No | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…7977backed Yes | 62c | 34.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb37…0c78backed Yes | 65c | 34.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 49c | 32.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…880cbacked No | 38c | 29.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…c3cdbacked Yes | 46c | 29.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 62c | 27.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…e7ffbacked Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…b737backed Yes | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…5092backed Yes | 71c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 69c | 20.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…0c9abacked No | 58c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…0d64backed Yes | 68c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.