Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd556e7ec9d62033e4c28caa46e7d05c49b55f45fa7c08036de1d744e9c9e71b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked No | 72c | 2,418$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.79 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,769$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.82 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 68c | 1,314$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.55 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…5b53backed Yes | 22c | 1,234$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa040…2181backed Yes | 8c | 1,095$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 30c | 1,066$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.67 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 35c | 1,000$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.33 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…0d3fbacked Yes | 8c | 985.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6582…48c6backed Yes | 8c | 920$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…8e94backed Yes | 7c | 920$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…c369backed Yes | 8c | 920$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde20…e101backed Yes | 7c | 920$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8f…c84ebacked Yes | 7c | 917$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…3aa8backed Yes | 7c | 917$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…e6cabacked Yes | 7c | 914$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…1abbbacked Yes | 7c | 913.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…30f2backed Yes | 7c | 910$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…ad15backed Yes | 7c | 910$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +557.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a85…e9cebacked Yes | 7c | 908$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…f086backed Yes | 7c | 908$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +557.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e54…c6f4backed Yes | 8c | 870$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d4…a3cbbacked Yes | 8c | 760$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Yes | 24c | 559.06$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.81 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…eba3backed Yes | 9c | 503.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3034…dd88backed Yes | 35c | 428.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 30c | 371.81$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 53c | 324.07$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.09 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…450bbacked Yes | 17c | 295.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…3a92backed Yes | 26c | 267.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 17c | 264.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed No | 78c | 256.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 9c | 245.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked No | 48c | 201$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x703d…80f6backed No | 70c | 186.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 12c | 184.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 39c | 180.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…7c02backed No | 78c | 154.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 94 | 75.5%71 W · 23 L | +10.9wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…cb34backed Yes | 13c | 151.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…a211backed Yes | 54c | 146.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab79…f2edbacked Yes | 21c | 127.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2d…8147backed Yes | 31c | 100.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 24c | 99.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 24c | 98.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…0738backed No | 75c | 98.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 77c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…b79abacked Yes | 50c | 88.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e25…123cbacked Yes | 23c | 80.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 40c | 77.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Yes | 37c | 76.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 62c | 71.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…680bbacked Yes | 24c | 68.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…a691backed Yes | 30c | 59.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Yes | 63c | 58.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 65c | 56.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 122 | 25.4%31 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked No | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 38c | 52.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…0873backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cad…d424backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7c…232dbacked Yes | 32c | 48.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 53c | 47.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…08b4backed No | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd82…8f2abacked No | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf853…21d0backed No | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 64c | 42.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…b800backed Yes | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b5…e85ebacked Yes | 30c | 39.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Yes | 55c | 39.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…afedbacked Yes | 31c | 39.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…06afbacked No | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 78c | 32.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 50c | 31.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…309cbacked No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…2520backed No | 76c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab4…e073backed No | 46c | 30.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71d0…b8ddbacked Yes | 45c | 22.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5a86backed Yes | 65c | 21.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 79c | 21.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…e221backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…2f21backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…7e3fbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd862…f135backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd130…ad19backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257b…d288backed Yes | 64c | 19.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…8ddfbacked No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?this page
- Will Russia enter Myrne by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Russia enter Myrne by August 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Russia enter Myrne by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.