TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,065

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,764 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes39c10,754$4,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,205.631723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.6wins-0.33per pick57cpaid-41.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2fa0…be6dbacked Yes37c10,278$3,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,853.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No62c6,801$4,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,577.481643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No56c6,628$3,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,937.611050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No20c5,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0004348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No66c2,976$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-62%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No64c2,923$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.72369.6%16 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+43.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed No59c2,530$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.38435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No63c2,300$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.98540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No61c1,936$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…af49backed Yes29c1,481$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+61.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes37c1,200$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4447741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3df1…72e7backed No61c1,165$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Yes37c1,065$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.381233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes38c886.43$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Yes37c675.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes34c670$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes33c611.08$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.19616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes10c583.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.61944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes60c508$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.72837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed No57c461.45$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes36c291.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked No64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.354100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes39c243.84$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb75…f496backed Yes8c225.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No59c224.1$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.023961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed No64c223.72$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.547755.8%43 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…74f8backed Yes30c219.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed No65c215.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.384959.2%29 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05b1…60efbacked No72c202.24$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes36c173$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.281338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No64c126.64$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No50c125.43$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.721850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed No64c124.31$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.31580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+90.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa23b…6d59backed Yes41c112.12$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e0…d60cbacked No40c104.86$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.28per pick64cpaid-49.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8482…57ebbacked No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Yes62c99.74$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8450%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed No69c99.36$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.361163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes34c96.28$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-75.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes37c94.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked No63c93.4$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes43c90.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked No63c87.05$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes58c86.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a2c…80e5backed Yes41c84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd4…6eafbacked Yes42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43fd…59d3backed No60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…d7b3backed No74c75.87$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9796…8718backed No63c74.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes35c68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked No68c66.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.181346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cea…ffd2backed No63c59.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes48c58.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.172832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed No65c58.66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No47c58$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.74650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+97.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb3…9858backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4efc…4c49backed Yes66c54.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd55e…73e4backed Yes24c53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22dc…7b11backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61c…461ebacked Yes37c48.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked No60c47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.81442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes43c46.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.926132.8%20 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe5…8449backed No60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd357…eb57backed Yes62c39.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c24…65efbacked No38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82cd…d7d8backed Yes36c35.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed No37c33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+117%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes61c32.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.141464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86da…39f5backed Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-51.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe02f…c990backed Yes39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes37c29.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9916224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4d8…9436backed Yes57c28.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked Yes41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d14…ee01backed No61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.75633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked No53c22.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.39580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa58b…ef84backed No62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e63…134fbacked No65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42e…a252backed No51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ae…ac55backed No65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6020…e249backed No62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae17…fa7bbacked No62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed Yes62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed No63c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.