Other European Leagues · resolved market
AIK vs. GAIS: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0f52c3310a8761f2b55a21fd30764c840cdacbcbd54b85aff3a30944ab5a92d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 2,461$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 35c | 2,100$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 712.04$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.67 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 653.28$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.86 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 32c | 309.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 51c | 196.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 59c | 145.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…40debacked No | 68c | 123.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 116.02$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…8898backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 41c | 55.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 50.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…483abacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 40c | 48.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 65c | 46.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…121cbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 77c | 22.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AIK vs. GAIS: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AIK vs. GAIS: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- AIK vs. GAIS: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- AIK vs. GAIS: AIK O/U 1.5Over won
- AIK vs. GAIS: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- AIK vs. GAIS: GAIS O/U 1.5Under won
- AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 0.5Over won
- AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 1.5Over won
- AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 2.5Under won
- AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 3.5Under won
- AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 4.5Under won
- AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AIK (-1.5)AIK won
- Spread: AIK (-2.5)GAIS won
- Spread: GAIS (-1.5)AIK won
- Spread: GAIS (-2.5)AIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.