Other European Leagues · resolved market
AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebc024e6e08d32953a74e9163d8019eb3ad193337a824e365f3de2f960edb06c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 54c | 6,543$3,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 5,810$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.68 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 3,745$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.96 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 2,672$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.45 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 52c | 2,404$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 78c | 1,923$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.08 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 45c | 1,320$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.6 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 49c | 1,043$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.86 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 836.95$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.71 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6da…5ccfbacked Over | 50c | 522.72$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 49c | 511.74$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.74 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 22c | 334.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Over | 56c | 268.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.57 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 50c | 264.64$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 71c | 232.63$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under | 49c | 159.62$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.63 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 49c | 134.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 70c | 99.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Over | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 78c | 76.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 78c | 66.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 77c | 61.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 77c | 51.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 77c | 51.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 48c | 43.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Over | 59c | 42.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Over | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 53c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 1.5this page
- AIK vs. GAIS: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- AIK vs. GAIS: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- AIK vs. GAIS: AIK O/U 1.5Over won
- AIK vs. GAIS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AIK vs. GAIS: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- AIK vs. GAIS: GAIS O/U 1.5Under won
- AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 0.5Over won
- AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 2.5Under won
- AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 3.5Under won
- AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 4.5Under won
- AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AIK (-1.5)AIK won
- Spread: AIK (-2.5)GAIS won
- Spread: GAIS (-1.5)AIK won
- Spread: GAIS (-2.5)AIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.