Other European Leagues · resolved market
AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56ba42aff7d536fb607a49c38d92e9f857e74343639b5f347e7be7c6b1a7b194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 597.96$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 32c | 428.95$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.37 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba76…e0d7backed Under | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 31c | 240.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…7c71backed Under | 69c | 202$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 68c | 158.23$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Under | 74c | 71.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 71c | 65.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 78c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 69c | 34.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Under | 71c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under | 79c | 17.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…483abacked Under | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 70c | 15.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 77c | 14.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 3.5this page
- AIK vs. GAIS: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- AIK vs. GAIS: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- AIK vs. GAIS: AIK O/U 1.5Over won
- AIK vs. GAIS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AIK vs. GAIS: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- AIK vs. GAIS: GAIS O/U 1.5Under won
- AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 0.5Over won
- AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 1.5Over won
- AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 2.5Under won
- AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 4.5Under won
- AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AIK (-1.5)AIK won
- Spread: AIK (-2.5)GAIS won
- Spread: GAIS (-1.5)AIK won
- Spread: GAIS (-2.5)AIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.