Champions League · resolved market
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d34aeb66626432d98fc09d131ccc1884500bdf0d926c6efa6f049f2a820a240
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 33c | 1,227$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 1,030$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.37 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked No | 51c | 444.69$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 27c | 380$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed No | 51c | 308.82$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 50c | 295.84$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.92 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 43c | 279$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.03 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…08edbacked No | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 69c | 236.43$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 51c | 216.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked No | 52c | 193.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 181.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf80…5993backed Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 136.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 48c | 92.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Yes | 47c | 87.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked No | 51c | 78.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 73c | 68.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 53c | 65.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 49c | 62.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 70c | 51.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…73a1backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 63c | 48.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 49c | 47.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Yes | 49c | 42.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 49c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 34c | 29.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed No | 52c | 22.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 51c | 21.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.29per pick | 66cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x70d4…16a1backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 0.5Over won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 3.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 4.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 5.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Universitatea Craiova CS 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.