Champions League · resolved market
Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c91ff4f3a8e2ab69650e8677be80643b2494260d1dedabb1403e06968e9e975
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Universitatea Craiova CSof PFK Levski Sofia, Universitatea Craiova CS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Universitatea Craiova CS | 79c | 25,000$19,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PFK Levski Sofia | 21c | 20,420$4,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286.95 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 78c | 14,112$11,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.24 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed PFK Levski Sofia | 23c | 10,689$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed PFK Levski Sofia | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed PFK Levski Sofia | 22c | 2,918$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Universitatea Craiova CS | 70c | 2,701$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PFK Levski Sofia | 22c | 2,675$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.6 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed PFK Levski Sofia | 21c | 2,479$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.59 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 78c | 2,092$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.53 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed PFK Levski Sofia | 21c | 1,645$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.31 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 63c | 1,500$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 78c | 1,373$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.57 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked PFK Levski Sofia | 22c | 1,313$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.56 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Universitatea Craiova CS | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed PFK Levski Sofia | 29c | 967.83$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.28 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed PFK Levski Sofia | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PFK Levski Sofia | 31c | 462.15$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.11 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed PFK Levski Sofia | 22c | 422.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Universitatea Craiova CS | 78c | 337.29$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed PFK Levski Sofia | 26c | 313.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed PFK Levski Sofia | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 75c | 199.55$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 77c | 174.2$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Universitatea Craiova CS | 80c | 164.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Universitatea Craiova CS | 79c | 100.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked PFK Levski Sofia | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 78c | 90.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed PFK Levski Sofia | 19c | 84.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 77c | 79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked PFK Levski Sofia | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed PFK Levski Sofia | 21c | 66.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed PFK Levski Sofia | 23c | 65.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked PFK Levski Sofia | 22c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed PFK Levski Sofia | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed PFK Levski Sofia | 28c | 43.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Universitatea Craiova CS | 77c | 41.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 78c | 37.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 78c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 80c | 19.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 77cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 80c | 14.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)this page
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 0.5Over won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 3.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 4.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 5.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Universitatea Craiova CS 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK Levski Sofia vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.