Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf8952ee41628c814a4b5c789bf59c0d295d6826d156c06c43d4df5680a484a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 58c | 2,250$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 1,681$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.7 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 42c | 549$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.58 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 48c | 319.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.29 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 66c | 319.87$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 315.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.73 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Yes | 64c | 311.17$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.02 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 65c | 293.03$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 35c | 216.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 190.32$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 35c | 185.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 34c | 135.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 66c | 119.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 63c | 106.18$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 57c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 64c | 99.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 58c | 67.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 34c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 35c | 47.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 34c | 38.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 28.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…3cbebacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: Aalesunds FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: Aalesunds FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: Aalesunds FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 4.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 5.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: Vålerenga Fotball O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.