TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,227 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over13c1,039$137 inWon+$901.387,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over12c278.16$33 inWon+$244.785,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over48c202.99$97 inWon+$106.21040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under54c113.06$61 inLost-$60.572,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f74…2d62backed Over13c80$10 inWon+$69.61233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under52c78.45$41 inLost-$40.81,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under52c59.81$31 inLost-$31.128049.6%139 W · 141 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa23b…b787backed Over45c54.18$24 inWon+$29.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under55c54.18$30 inLost-$29.827360.8%166 W · 107 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over46c51.97$24 inWon+$28.1773440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x008b…9d80backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon+$23.481457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.