Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb906e87dc033e69cbc1478943c3e2f40e63352e2c5bb05ab93f04e90d624b28e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 47c | 4,423$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.38 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 53c | 2,189$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.06 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 946.7$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.35 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…fd6cbacked Over | 50c | 946.7$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 53c | 942.86$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.11 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 43c | 499.83$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.9 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 390.96$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 55c | 280.47$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.52 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 48c | 242.31$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 44c | 226.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.04 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 44c | 226.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.56 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 60c | 223$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.68 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…f040backed Under | 9c | 215.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 172.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.97 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…fc82backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 42c | 155.57$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Over | 49c | 152.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5283…b53cbacked Under | 41c | 143.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 55c | 139.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Over | 45c | 113.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 52c | 105.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 69c | 78.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 38c | 64.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 48c | 62.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 54c | 60.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 37c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 62c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7f…4a4abacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…13a8backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 44.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 48c | 43.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 42.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 40.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 56c | 40.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +183.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 46c | 36.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…9d80backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 55c | 31.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…f873backed Under | 57c | 24.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Under | 57c | 23.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 23.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 56c | 20.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 55c | 19.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd60…c454backed Under | 58c | 18.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: Aalesunds FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: Aalesunds FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: Aalesunds FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 4.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 5.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: Vålerenga Fotball O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.