Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bd215e4d3bfecdd99b8a9a206f709779dcdf9b623b766c78e4cc031aa6bb45f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 2,798$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.23 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 68c | 2,299$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.51 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 740$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.2 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 35c | 635.15$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.15 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 65c | 499.91$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.97 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a4f0backed Over | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 327.89$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.51 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 32c | 275.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.55 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 66c | 215.52$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Over | 61c | 204.32$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 31c | 193.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 39c | 169.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x924c…fc41backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 32c | 139.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 64c | 128.21$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 108$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…61febacked Over | 70c | 101.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 32c | 97.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Over | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 31c | 79.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 65c | 75.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 31c | 71.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 34c | 64.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 64c | 59.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Under | 36c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7f…4a4abacked Over | 70c | 35.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 48c | 35.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Over | 50c | 35.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 69c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 68c | 29.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 36c | 28.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…d635backed Over | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: Aalesunds FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: Aalesunds FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: Aalesunds FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 4.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 5.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK: Vålerenga Fotball O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.