Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b062c82af15ed00e6f2085e41250e48d057cc951adccacad30c976e3f7e44f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b5c…c056backed Yes | 14c | 4,782$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.09 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…5593backed Yes | 32c | 4,501$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf940…3239backed Yes | 6c | 3,107$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.81 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 13c | 2,920$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.29 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked Yes | 18c | 2,705$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.24 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 2,700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,643$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.41 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 1,707$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,658$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.88 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 37c | 1,090$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.67 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 8c | 988.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 10c | 903.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 9c | 823.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 9c | 745$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…2440backed Yes | 14c | 711.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 68c | 698.59$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.84 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…1c8cbacked Yes | 20c | 681.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 66c | 610.2$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.27 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 9c | 570$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 8c | 565.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 80c | 537.54$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 8c | 526.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 38c | 510$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.74 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 32c | 496.87$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.01 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…e86dbacked Yes | 12c | 493.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f09…f1c3backed Yes | 7c | 451.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 33c | 396.13$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes | 59c | 355.36$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes | 36c | 341.03$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 35c | 338$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 57c | 336.47$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.58 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | +20.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 7c | 315.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 302.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d77…89f5backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 13cpaid | +216.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 19c | 294.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Yes | 24c | 288.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…1768backed Yes | 15c | 272.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes | 32c | 265.17$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 20c | 263.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked Yes | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…ee5cbacked Yes | 6c | 249.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +409.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 30c | 235$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 39c | 234.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Yes | 12c | 230.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 21c | 226.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 12c | 220$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 6c | 213.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…4a9cbacked Yes | 19c | 210.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 11c | 207.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823e…3336backed Yes | 23c | 205.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 38c | 200.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb994…72d5backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ded…fbcdbacked Yes | 42c | 198.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 23c | 195$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 194.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 186.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 218 | 15.6%34 W · 184 L | -37.8wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 74c | 185.72$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 28c | 180.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 18c | 164.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 22c | 157.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 10c | 151.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 145$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 12c | 144.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 15c | 139.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 38c | 126.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ba…b46dbacked No | 54c | 111.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed Yes | 11c | 111.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked Yes | 11c | 110.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked Yes | 11c | 109.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 12c | 108.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…c0e9backed Yes | 43c | 107.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 37c | 106$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…c11abacked Yes | 30c | 98.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…695abacked Yes | 38c | 95.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed Yes | 12c | 84.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked No | 56c | 80.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 307 | 38.8%119 W · 188 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd97…b01ebacked Yes | 31c | 79.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 65c | 73.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 38c | 71.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 36c | 69.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 18c | 68.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 16c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e95ebacked Yes | 63c | 63.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…9208backed No | 65c | 63.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 62.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 22c | 62.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…e17fbacked Yes | 26c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…dc6dbacked No | 68c | 60.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f4…dbb1backed Yes | 43c | 57.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 40c | 56.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ce…2fa6backed No | 59c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 40c | 50.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 76c | 43.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 162 | 76.5%124 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…af42backed No | 66c | 40.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…6ce2backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…dfdabacked No | 59c | 38.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?this page
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.