Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb467ab59aa38e3f21f78bb150888b127ea7e97f9758601e20b846e0cde8ed4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 46c | 684.66$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.83 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 37c | 488.65$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.89 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Over | 69c | 434.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.24 | 769 | 55%423 W · 346 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 56c | 395.08$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.84 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 44c | 255.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 45c | 224.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 49c | 153.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.31 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Under | 26c | 135.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Over | 62c | 128.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 63c | 120.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Over | 52c | 99.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 45c | 97.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 52c | 92.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Under | 38c | 80.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2864…c074backed Over | 61c | 45.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d77…89f5backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…fa86backed Under | 52c | 38.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…1071backed Over | 52c | 37.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…3a68backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Over | 52c | 19.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c91…a8bdbacked Over | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Dplus KIA won
- First Blood in Game 2?Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsDplus KIA won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.