Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x889fffda8add11eeec3194603a855e98e35b81da63c5bc3feeb2638d268bbe0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Under | 49c | 1,209$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.43 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Over | 80c | 733.47$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.87 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 51c | 718.52$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.85 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Over | 50c | 584.98$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.49 | 89 | 67.4%60 W · 29 L | +13.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 51c | 543.02$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.01 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 345 | 68.7%237 W · 108 L | +24.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Over | 46c | 334.5$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.63 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 49c | 298.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.48 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Under | 51c | 270$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Under | 45c | 250$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed Under | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 55c | 219.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 197 | 31%61 W · 136 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Under | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…e61abacked Over | 53c | 209.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Over | 49c | 201.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.81 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 45c | 188.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 53c | 139.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…b94dbacked Over | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Under | 53c | 123.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Under | 54c | 112.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Over | 45c | 100.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Over | 50c | 100.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…30c1backed Over | 50c | 100.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 55c | 81.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Under | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Over | 35c | 69.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +122%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 51c | 55.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 46c | 49.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 48.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 46c | 36.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…f08bbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…db7abacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 53c | 33.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d77…89f5backed Over | 51c | 27.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 22.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 234 | 58.5%137 W · 97 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0910…000ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Dplus KIA won
- First Blood in Game 2?Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsDplus KIA won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.