Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc985806368be060d44f7d20c71ece243ce9c5fdbc390b1e128724d4eb81f5215
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 44c | 8,324$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,644.8 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 55c | 5,230$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.8 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 57c | 1,930$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Under | 57c | 1,455$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 51c | 1,127$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.27 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…e61abacked Over | 49c | 1,011$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.88 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 46c | 555$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Under | 50c | 507.05$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.52 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Over | 47c | 416$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Under | 53c | 416$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.48 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ab…5315backed Under | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 9c | 389.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Over | 50c | 350$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.56 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed Under | 55c | 218.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Over | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Over | 43c | 175.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 52c | 171.72$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 16c | 118.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 43c | 113.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Under | 60c | 105.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 43c | 99.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 49c | 82.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 50c | 77.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd751…3bf7backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 38c | 65.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +12.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Under | 60c | 52.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 44c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…f6eabacked Over | 46c | 30.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…db7abacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 51c | 21.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Dplus KIA won
- First Blood in Game 2?Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsDplus KIA won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.