Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb2d87f2d06ca98a353c0e226a483280ca3b77ddb8abf5425189c42c4686b33f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 50c | 1,932$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.3 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 1,754$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.21 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Over | 41c | 1,500$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 39c | 1,461$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.91 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Under | 57c | 1,406$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.46 | 320 | 45.6%146 W · 174 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 1,336$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.55 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 58c | 1,172$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.48 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -13.6wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Under | 58c | 975.27$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.66 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked Over | 41c | 844.65$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.66 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 43c | 628.36$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.34 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 29c | 476.13$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Over | 51c | 392.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.61 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 63c | 341.96$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…8501backed Over | 42c | 234.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Under | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 52c | 206$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 48c | 196.86$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.84 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…fa86backed Over | 61c | 190$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 75c | 186.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 23c | 185$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 43c | 172.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f0…ff70backed Over | 43c | 171.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 42c | 166$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 30c | 157.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Under | 64c | 156.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 42c | 149$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.91 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 69c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 59c | 116.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 49c | 76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 56c | 74.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 42c | 63.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…6df5backed Over | 47c | 63.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 41c | 62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 274 | 47.4%130 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 42c | 58.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d8…2d6cbacked Over | 42c | 57.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 42c | 57.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 55c | 53.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 38c | 51.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c2…b4ecbacked Over | 41c | 50.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…8597backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffcb…d630backed Under | 60c | 38.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Over | 56c | 38.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…f9e4backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…e69cbacked Over | 43c | 32.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d5c4backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Under | 46c | 25.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 56c | 23.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Dplus KIA won
- First Blood in Game 2?Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsDplus KIA won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.