Fifa International · resolved market
Jonathan David: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f1c45c34a5a0b10108d34d7e575353897515905c6671b50cf27c22fe7548956
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 80c | 3,068$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.71 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 1,279$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.59 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,250$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed No | 80c | 1,049$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.78 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 983.91$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.45 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed No | 80c | 949.52$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.9 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 19c | 947.43$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.01 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 20c | 837.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.9 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 753.52$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.26 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 22c | 675$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 141 | 16.3%23 W · 118 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 78c | 616.76$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Yes | 16c | 600$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 79c | 502.96$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.12 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…f35bbacked Yes | 22c | 442$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 26c | 388.77$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 80c | 368.21$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fc…f25abacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5d…de70backed Yes | 20c | 249.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824f…e635backed Yes | 17c | 235.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 78c | 235.45$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 21c | 223.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…e8a9backed No | 80c | 209$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 19c | 178.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 161.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 79c | 140.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 78c | 127.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked No | 79c | 116$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e4…2e5bbacked Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…0d66backed Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…95a4backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 462 | 47.6%220 W · 242 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 20c | 84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 78c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Yes | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…30c8backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…74d8backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…08b7backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 34.3%34 W · 65 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed No | 77c | 29.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 77c | 26.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410e…1209backed No | 80c | 20.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jonathan David: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ assistsYes won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ assistsYes won
- Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ shotsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 2+ shotsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jonathan David: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 2+ shotsYes won
- Jonathan David: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 3+ shotsYes won
- Jonathan David: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Promise David: 1+ goalsNo won
- Promise David: 3+ goalsNo won
- Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goalsYes won
- Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shotsYes won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shotsNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.