Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Campos do Jordão 2 Women: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Bohrer Martins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x425961cbe9db0fca273d205b2cdd5588f7b67ac0360d0fe7fc48a9d72b74b43b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carolina Bohrer Martinsof Luiza Fullana, Carolina Bohrer Martins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carolina Bohrer Martins | 63c | 606.86$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.39 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…a3a9backed Luiza Fullana | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Carolina Bohrer Martins | 31c | 289.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Luiza Fullana | 29c | 200.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Luiza Fullana | 54c | 182.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Luiza Fullana | 40c | 171.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Carolina Bohrer Martins | 71c | 139.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…7eccbacked Luiza Fullana | 26c | 114.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Carolina Bohrer Martins | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Luiza Fullana | 31c | 95.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…c618backed Carolina Bohrer Martins | 70c | 95.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…5af2backed Luiza Fullana | 31c | 91.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Luiza Fullana | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 2,111 | 56.1%1,184 W · 927 L | +42.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Luiza Fullana | 24c | 89.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 421 | 30.2%127 W · 294 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Luiza Fullana | 35c | 87.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Luiza Fullana | 66c | 79.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 326 | 59.2%193 W · 133 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Luiza Fullana | 35c | 66.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Carolina Bohrer Martins | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 932 | 58.5%545 W · 387 L | +22.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Luiza Fullana | 33c | 56.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luiza Fullana | 25c | 51.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Carolina Bohrer Martins | 70c | 42.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3005…458dbacked Carolina Bohrer Martins | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Carolina Bohrer Martins | 66c | 24.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 792 | 49.1%389 W · 403 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Carolina Bohrer Martins | 69c | 24.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Carolina Bohrer Martins | 78c | 23.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Carolina Bohrer Martins | 74c | 20.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 250 | 48.4%121 W · 129 L | +22.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.