Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Carson Branstine vs Clervie Ngounoue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb981077d67d43c0d91acd53b1318f82090834bb0d1166d8c3456909d30113514
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carson Branstineof Carson Branstine, Clervie Ngounoue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae5c…5df7backed Carson Branstine | 70c | 10,643$7,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.82 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Clervie Ngounoue | 14c | 3,836$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.6 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Clervie Ngounoue | 21c | 3,819$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.23 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 19c | 3,158$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Clervie Ngounoue | 12c | 3,021$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.77 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Clervie Ngounoue | 12c | 2,670$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.04 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carson Branstine | 77c | 2,437$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.05 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…ae0ebacked Clervie Ngounoue | 18c | 1,197$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.42 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 59c | 740.19$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.71 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Carson Branstine | 70c | 665.99$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.13 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Clervie Ngounoue | 14c | 659.86$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 439 | 47.2%207 W · 232 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked Carson Branstine | 46c | 657.73$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.23 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Carson Branstine | 41c | 628$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.52 | 364 | 34.3%125 W · 239 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Clervie Ngounoue | 58c | 600$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.31 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Carson Branstine | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 492 | 50.6%249 W · 243 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Carson Branstine | 70c | 499.99$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Clervie Ngounoue | 26c | 490.92$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Clervie Ngounoue | 11c | 490.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Clervie Ngounoue | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Carson Branstine | 41c | 376.3$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.32 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Clervie Ngounoue | 53c | 373$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.69 | 980 | 55.4%543 W · 437 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Clervie Ngounoue | 55c | 373$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.15 | 866 | 47.9%415 W · 451 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 56c | 305.4$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.39 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Clervie Ngounoue | 34c | 284.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Clervie Ngounoue | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…8b19backed Clervie Ngounoue | 54c | 209.17$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Carson Branstine | 45c | 198$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 39.2%94 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Clervie Ngounoue | 60c | 179.05$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 482 | 58.1%280 W · 202 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed Clervie Ngounoue | 7c | 165.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Clervie Ngounoue | 28c | 162$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…d8fcbacked Carson Branstine | 69c | 142.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Clervie Ngounoue | 15c | 139.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 59c | 123.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Clervie Ngounoue | 28c | 115.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 336 | 48.5%163 W · 173 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…7eccbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 24c | 106.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Carson Branstine | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 533 | 43%229 W · 304 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Clervie Ngounoue | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 904 | 35.7%323 W · 581 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Carson Branstine | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Carson Branstine | 40c | 96.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Carson Branstine | 75c | 95.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 369 | 64.2%237 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Clervie Ngounoue | 40c | 92.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Clervie Ngounoue | 53c | 90.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 375 | 58.1%218 W · 157 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Carson Branstine | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Carson Branstine | 75c | 78.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…39c8backed Clervie Ngounoue | 15c | 76.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Clervie Ngounoue | 50c | 70.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Clervie Ngounoue | 56c | 67.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 54c | 66.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Clervie Ngounoue | 35c | 64.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…a9d0backed Clervie Ngounoue | 56c | 54.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Clervie Ngounoue | 27c | 51.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…fc38backed Carson Branstine | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Carson Branstine | 61c | 49.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Carson Branstine | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Carson Branstine | 44c | 47.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 720 | 47.9%345 W · 375 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Clervie Ngounoue | 36c | 47.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…2542backed Clervie Ngounoue | 31c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Carson Branstine | 75c | 44.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Clervie Ngounoue | 29c | 43.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 476 | 57.4%273 W · 203 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Clervie Ngounoue | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Carson Branstine | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 710 | 45.4%322 W · 388 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 28c | 41.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Carson Branstine | 44c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Carson Branstine | 79c | 37.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Clervie Ngounoue | 37c | 32.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Clervie Ngounoue | 57c | 28.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 790 | 62.2%491 W · 299 L | +25.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…0fcbbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Carson Branstine | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…e94abacked Clervie Ngounoue | 55c | 19.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Carson Branstine | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 176 | 88.6%156 W · 20 L | +40.5wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Carson Branstine | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 107 | 78.5%84 W · 23 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.