Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb95d60d0d5cf498964db9a8de3ffc7839db0df272158ad4fafd322b4da7eb4db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Under | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.98 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 58c | 1,733$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 59c | 1,250$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.5 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 990.39$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.87 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 42c | 788.45$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.2 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Over | 58c | 699.94$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.97 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 554.31$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.14 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…13f5backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 36c | 452.6$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.26 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…df0ebacked Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…3f7bbacked Over | 57c | 333.33$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Over | 57c | 329.82$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 43c | 313.79$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.5 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 43c | 196.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 41c | 191.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…0025backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 59c | 168.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 42c | 146$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 42c | 131.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 59c | 125.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 63c | 110$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Over | 62c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 42c | 95.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 42c | 92.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 64c | 87.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2504…321cbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 64c | 67.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 38c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c96…f26abacked Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 42c | 49.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…9ac6backed Over | 58c | 45.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 42c | 40.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2c…88c6backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1c…98e8backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…7eccbacked Under | 58c | 19.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Team to Take First CornerEcuador won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.