Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cd6dba2e1d485f33b37dabd4279a5745fafea96874086cc363f480c84961769
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 79c | 3,514$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.43 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Under | 75c | 2,449$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.35 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 14c | 1,750$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.8 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…466dbacked Under | 75c | 1,610$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.65 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 23c | 1,499$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.06 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…0145backed Over | 26c | 1,351$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Over | 25c | 1,101$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.51 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Over | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 74c | 738$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.51 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 25c | 705.42$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.33 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 25c | 606.93$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.73 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 26c | 599.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 22c | 511.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 74c | 496$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 25c | 422.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 75c | 401.27$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…1cdebacked Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 53.4%93 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 25c | 314.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 74c | 280$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 26c | 206.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 22c | 201.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 22c | 114.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…1499backed Over | 24c | 98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…9db2backed Over | 33c | 93.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 74c | 93.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 76c | 84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 76c | 78.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 77c | 53.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…e7febacked Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…fd10backed Over | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 75c | 41.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…5d1cbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 67c | 27.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 77c | 23.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Under | 74c | 20.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 75c | 15.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 74c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…7160backed Under | 75c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed Under | 74c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 56 | 82.1%46 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Team to Take First CornerEcuador won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.