Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13e57b9a50ecf3d0a3de988599dc2121debd19c669e86cae3ee8aecbbf26888c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 54c | 696.57$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.42 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf568…efabbacked Over | 48c | 577.54$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.22 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 43c | 526.36$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.17 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 54c | 442.97$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.77 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Under | 57c | 330$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 46c | 263.85$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.28 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 41c | 251.94$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.11 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 57c | 234.28$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Under | 52c | 212.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…b8cdbacked Over | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 56c | 176.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Under | 53c | 157.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.13 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 118.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 46c | 115.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…27c9backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 46c | 107.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…2e0abacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 51.5%105 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8570…a720backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 36c | 85.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa96d…1818backed Over | 46c | 84.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…371ebacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ace…8fa9backed Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed Under | 41c | 64.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 59c | 60.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af4…a5adbacked Over | 42c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x573f…4eb3backed Over | 49c | 51.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ca…77c1backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Over | 43c | 42.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 44c | 39.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…76e3backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…69c6backed Over | 46c | 27.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Under | 41c | 25.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x48a2…316dbacked Over | 47c | 21.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…b6bebacked Over | 48c | 21.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Team to Take First CornerEcuador won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.