Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 4.5 Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fab309ff9c8b58ca9076eddaa96cd1f08b090ad89a8c40d2acdf530fe798381

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $18,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,157 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	57c	3,765$2,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,153.1	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98ce…d417backed Under	42c	3,744$1,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,155.4	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+13%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	58c	1,734$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,004.9	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under	38c	1,550$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$961.07	101	42.6%43 W · 58 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under	43c	852.07$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.68	68	57.4%39 W · 29 L	+7.9wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over	30c	660.32$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	150	34.7%52 W · 98 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under	43c	499.98$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.99	331	54.4%180 W · 151 L	+25.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under	69c	442$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.02	858	51.2%439 W · 419 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	61c	389$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.33	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	59c	365.16$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.92	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb980…73b0backed Over	56c	310.23$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.98	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+7.7wins	+0.20per pick	40cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	44c	304$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.65	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	44c	304$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.6	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	43c	303.23$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.05	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6a09backed Over	62c	300$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186	35	68.6%24 W · 11 L	+7.5wins	+0.22per pick	47cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	38c	265.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.84	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over	55c	251.94$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.67	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed Under	42c	250$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	136	41.2%56 W · 80 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	52c	214.45$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.42	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over	57c	200$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	607	52.4%318 W · 289 L	+21.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under	42c	199.64$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.79	340	56.5%192 W · 148 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Over	8c	192.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	201	33.8%68 W · 133 L	+14.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	42c	184.2$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.23	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	42c	169.55$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.1	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9402…21febacked Over	62c	161.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd842…775bbacked Over	62c	160.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.82	85	50.6%43 W · 42 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	34c	160$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.1	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	44c	154.39$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.18	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae7d…058fbacked Under	42c	150$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under	43c	141.81$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.83	364	48.6%177 W · 187 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ec…7bf0backed Over	59c	131.61$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.65	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under	43c	129.37$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.75	374	58.8%220 W · 154 L	+18.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x661e…c63ebacked Over	32c	121.5$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.88	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under	39c	117.95$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.95	261	55.2%144 W · 117 L	+13.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Under	38c	101.39$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.86	38	68.4%26 W · 12 L	+7.5wins	+0.20per pick	49cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over	63c	100$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	322	54%174 W · 148 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d3…71cfbacked Under	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	119	39.5%47 W · 72 L	-9.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa96d…1818backed Over	48c	83.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b91…4ffebacked Over	62c	80.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Over	63c	76.68$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.31	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	56c	75.5$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.37	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	67c	71.47$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.58	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed Over	55c	63.64$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under	42c	59.52$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.52	37	78.4%29 W · 8 L	+9.5wins	+0.26per pick	53cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Under	42c	59.52$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.52	264	49.2%130 W · 134 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ace…8fa9backed Over	60c	53.33$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	41c	53.12$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.27	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0d…fbb3backed Over	59c	50.85$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Under	40c	50.24$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.21	618	55.3%342 W · 276 L	+23.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a07…267fbacked Over	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	116	46.6%54 W · 62 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	76c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	559	42.4%237 W · 322 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8af…9426backed Over	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	107	55.1%59 W · 48 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over	63c	47.62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	96	69.8%67 W · 29 L	+10.3wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	42c	44.02$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.43	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb795…1a30backed Under	38c	39.47$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.47	77	49.4%38 W · 39 L	-5.2wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	43c	35$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.96	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	40c	30.43$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.16	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44eb…48c6backed Over	59c	20.24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.94	91	64.8%59 W · 32 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd83f…287dbacked Over	62c	17.74$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-5.7wins	-0.22per pick	61cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Team to Take First CornerEcuador won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 4.5 Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event