Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38d10237edc675db20def72c573524c578d734634f1f1e421ceacc364dfa31c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 64c | 3,536$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.85 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Over | 28c | 3,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.99 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Under | 65c | 2,800$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…32dfbacked Over | 36c | 2,780$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 37c | 1,952$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.41 | 216 | 40.7%88 W · 128 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 63c | 1,603$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.02 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 64c | 1,293$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.46 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 72c | 1,135$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.64 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 36c | 999.33$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.76 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 36c | 774.17$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.7 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 37c | 593.24$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.22 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 27c | 507.13$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.17 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 64c | 401.52$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 79c | 365.95$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 35c | 311.52$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 35c | 299.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 79c | 248.09$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 76c | 232$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 77c | 212.47$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 61c | 206.76$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 63c | 190.59$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…19c8backed Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Under | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3f…55d5backed Over | 23c | 148$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…ec91backed Under | 73c | 136.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc3…10aebacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 22c | 122$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 63c | 121$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 35c | 102.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 79c | 88.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 29c | 87.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked Under | 64c | 81.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 70 | 78.6%55 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…e7febacked Over | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x359e…48a6backed Over | 37c | 79.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 71c | 70.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…a53cbacked Under | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…a49dbacked Under | 65c | 64.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Under | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 272 | 60.3%164 W · 108 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac78…a7b7backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 20c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 77c | 42.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…0136backed Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fef…8bb9backed Under | 64c | 37.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x416d…6fd5backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3948…8700backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 64c | 28.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Team to Take First CornerEcuador won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.