Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 4.5 Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57e0ed0a6638d6cc178f6442ce614aff3bf9d8a014efa81db5d5fb691eb3df07

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $38,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,159 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under	79c	6,602$5,246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,355.41	518	59.8%310 W · 208 L	+26.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under	57c	6,037$3,448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,588.89	190	37.4%71 W · 119 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	22c	5,249$1,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,167.48	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	32c	4,755$1,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,510.31	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ce…d417backed Under	59c	4,271$2,513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,758.22	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+13%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Over	36c	2,535$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.48	115	52.2%60 W · 55 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Under	76c	2,534$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$614.06	192	47.9%92 W · 100 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+38%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	41c	2,412$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb892…2ce1backed Under	56c	2,254$1,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$982.98	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	38c	1,263$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.42	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	22c	1,249$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.57	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	42c	1,108$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.4	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	33c	1,071$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.59	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over	41c	880.4$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.96	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Over	41c	864$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.58	148	56.8%84 W · 64 L	+20.7wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x94f1…54a1backed Over	47c	843.99$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.68	127	38.6%49 W · 78 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Over	41c	833$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.53	123	44.7%55 W · 68 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	32c	828.43$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.23	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over	41c	700$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under	53c	671$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.37	291	54%157 W · 134 L	+21.1wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked Under	70c	607.73$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.31	130	61.5%80 W · 50 L	+11.1wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+100.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Over	41c	585.84$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.19	156	42.9%67 W · 89 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	62c	584.48$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.34	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Over	43c	575.7$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.28	331	54.4%180 W · 151 L	+25.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	65c	533.79$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.55	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over	46c	500$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	377	54.4%205 W · 172 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Over	43c	487.19$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.84	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	42c	481.71$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Under	57c	473.88$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.88	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under	56c	424.29$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.69	261	55.2%144 W · 117 L	+13.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x103d…b34ebacked Over	48c	306.25$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.26	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	42c	295.52$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.58	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Over	44c	249.83$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.92	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcecf…78b2backed Over	26c	211.54$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under	67c	159$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.09	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	24c	156.23$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	20c	154.57$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.12	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over	41c	139.32$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.12	184	48.9%90 W · 94 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over	44c	130$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.2	81	70.4%57 W · 24 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed Over	45c	129.04$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.07	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c80…e0cdbacked Over	41c	121.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+4.1wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Over	26c	115.38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	281	49.8%140 W · 141 L	+19.8wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd744…95f3backed Over	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad65…0025backed Over	24c	104.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-3.8wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2334…9a9fbacked Under	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under	68c	87$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.41	415	51.8%215 W · 200 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33ea…75fabacked Over	41c	83.82$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under	68c	79.91$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.23	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under	63c	79.03$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.03	455	48.6%221 W · 234 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8367…2a2abacked Under	64c	75.2$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.8	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Over	37c	71.92$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	275	54.5%150 W · 125 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c96…f26abacked Over	41c	70$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.7	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Over	41c	69.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	452	54.6%247 W · 205 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	61c	69.4$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.25	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	413	39%161 W · 252 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d69…f09fbacked Over	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	76	44.7%34 W · 42 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	67c	60.48$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.04	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over	43c	55$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	559	42.4%237 W · 322 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	46c	53.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.84	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Under	57c	52.54$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.54	264	49.2%130 W · 134 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Over	41c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…4c78backed Over	41c	46.6$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.28	123	59.3%73 W · 50 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Under	76c	42.56$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.09	514	58.8%302 W · 212 L	+25.0wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	32c	41.78$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.37	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6b2…fba9backed Over	47c	41.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0d8…0a00backed Over	41c	41.15$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.01	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	41c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Under	63c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	618	55.3%342 W · 276 L	+23.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	53c	29.51$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.87	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	60c	25.84$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.23	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	61c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.77	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba56…140dbacked Under	68c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.97	59	61%36 W · 23 L	+8.6wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	76c	22.2$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.24	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under	59c	21.76$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	218	58.7%128 W · 90 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	58c	21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.82	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under	66c	18.15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.15	318	53.1%169 W · 149 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Team to Take First CornerEcuador won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 4.5 Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event