Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ac19d2a2f06683c7a59a48d4fda918da5f24bb7aa2509ee7c5ae6c14033c192
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 37c | 1,137$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.27 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…a84abacked Over | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9be0…b5fdbacked Over | 63c | 1,087$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.91 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…708dbacked Over | 67c | 861.21$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.01 | 93 | 72%67 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 34c | 838.94$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.7 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 37c | 642.72$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.06 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 441.82$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.92 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 32c | 285.54$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.17 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 34c | 272.26$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.59 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 34c | 266.67$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.31 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8f…e0babacked Over | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 36c | 208.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.05 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 35c | 181.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.26 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…3d25backed Over | 67c | 149.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 34c | 122.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 324 | 44.1%143 W · 181 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Under | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Under | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…5a81backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21be…0b64backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 65c | 43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c7…892cbacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2357…666ebacked Over | 69c | 27.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 46c | 26.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…0e52backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f8…9aa4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 65c | 19.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c3…4d56backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Team to Take First CornerEcuador won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.