TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,060 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7528…4e36backed Over62c5,106$3,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,146.226743.3%29 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under50c4,737$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,375.723046.5%107 W · 123 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under40c3,205$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Under40c3,160$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.4113151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over36c3,000$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.9867447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over29c2,379$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.431,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c1,870$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.928,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over60c1,855$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.772,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbfc…e387backed Over60c1,852$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-66.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over24c1,750$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42021640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x760b…1577backed Over51c1,691$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.42556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over35c1,691$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.6946939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over34c1,632$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.791,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under38c1,592$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.1670750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over60c1,578$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.82,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under40c1,539$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.254,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under40c1,519$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.511,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Under49c1,369$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.8840163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under71c1,326$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.431,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9367…c4dfbacked Over61c1,283$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.75580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked Under39c1,207$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.352564%16 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Over60c1,200$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71815147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08e6…fa57backed Over61c1,192$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over41c1,125$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.2329347.4%139 W · 154 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Over39c1,102$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.725543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under48c1,004$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.4923251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Under57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43025445.3%115 W · 139 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under51c991.84$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4867653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec9…7529backed Over61c969.93$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.66580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under40c954.94$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.9661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over61c845.17$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.373,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33ea…8b78backed Over59c811.82$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.711346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over35c798.36$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4120337.9%77 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over60c746.31$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.73,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under38c740.62$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.7540736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under38c727.27$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.9177845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over37c708.76$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.692,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under68c670.31$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.062,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under38c657$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.342,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under39c608.9$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.553,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over43c574$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.821,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under58c526.05$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.992,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under42c497.85$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.9769534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under39c437$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.5725848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under41c421.86$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.576551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20829042.1%122 W · 168 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under66c397.1$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.244,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Over61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021243.9%93 W · 119 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Over60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802040%8 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15913443.3%58 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56aa…c754backed Over33c300$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016147.2%76 W · 85 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under75c250.98$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7179149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed Over61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017962.6%112 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under76c226$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8677051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022447.3%106 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1225547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8448…964cbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed Over59c183.49$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.267441.9%31 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd842…775bbacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3607…2f38backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009451.1%48 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over26c166$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.821,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb500…1cdebacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017453.4%93 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e67…e745backed Over60c161.75$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.052661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6727…f0f4backed Over35c151.43$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbb…3ec7backed Over60c151.3$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.786848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under39c141.41$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2632444.1%143 W · 181 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Over62c133.97$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.13450%17 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadd3…bab6backed Under77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under41c125.6$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.283,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over37c124$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over26c122.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.721,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…0c75backed Over39c121.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.216042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88cf…a0afbacked Over39c121.95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.561656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed Over30c121.93$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.584725.5%12 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Over59c118$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.625050%25 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x554e…cd79backed Over61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Over61c90$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.913054.6%71 W · 59 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026646.2%123 W · 143 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c91…6795backed Over59c84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5610454.8%57 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over43c82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.262,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc528…3545backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509745.4%44 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019547.7%93 W · 102 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Over60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4833847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa54…a251backed Over62c70.97$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4421654.6%118 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f60…b0a4backed Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30329.4%3 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-75.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf7e5…a830backed Over61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409947.5%47 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under79c63.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5745548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda8a…2dbabacked Over60c61.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3714841.2%61 W · 87 L-13.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over60c58.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3582340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b8…81a9backed Over61c57.65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c75…c91fbacked Over60c56.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410737.4%40 W · 67 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under66c54.61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3929556.6%167 W · 128 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3f3…2d9dbacked Over37c54.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203522.9%8 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd47…61e3backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28b3…08e3backed Under40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbe…763ebacked Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1b89backed Over61c49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.895046%23 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x019a…264dbacked Over62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012035%42 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.