TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,082
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,082 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x28a1…0445backed Over49c20,519$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under52c15,842$8,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,619.134,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Over49c10,409$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10017733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over48c10,000$4,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,779.9859230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under60c8,163$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,282.931,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under52c7,633$3,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,644.682,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Under52c7,224$3,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,456.1613151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under53c6,124$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.4223046.5%107 W · 123 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over22c4,500$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98552522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Over49c4,071$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92012655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over33c3,986$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.732,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under62c3,821$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.791,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Under52c3,504$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.1515642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c3,088$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.314,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c2,704$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.628,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under52c2,177$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.171,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.083145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over49c1,837$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over49c1,530$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.721640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6868948.3%43 W · 46 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Over36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over18c1,333$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.491,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over49c1,122$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55016342.9%70 W · 93 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under52c1,025$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.9261750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c1,000$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.253,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9922643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Over47c999.96$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9814856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over28c984.96$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.1929347.4%139 W · 154 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3976551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over28c974.09$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.361,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under52c857.94$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.782,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Over36c832.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ad…b017backed Over36c790.97$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.752748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under51c776.98$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.7211444.7%51 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over25c766.49$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.911,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under62c705.63$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26679149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under60c630$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.2977051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Over49c599.99$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29415147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over50c594.69$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013754.7%75 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73d5…53bfbacked Under53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0410560%63 W · 42 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72c7…88b6backed Under53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.041650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over28c544.86$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.822,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24023251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over49c489.8$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24035848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c467.58$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.442,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under53c466.52$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.692,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98f3…bf14backed Under53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1883470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under51c392.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1546550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Under79c373.54$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.441758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under51c368.08$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1932444.1%143 W · 181 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6869…ececbacked Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1475324.5%13 W · 40 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under56c263$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.341551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.533154.4%180 W · 151 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Over42c238.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over46c226.49$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1977845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under61c218.65$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.848055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over24c218.39$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.832,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed Over24c217$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0815745.9%72 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fac…1feebacked Over48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.87347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014831.8%47 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e9…5f6cbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011946.2%55 W · 64 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over24c197.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.241,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa739…19c8backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3113141.2%54 W · 77 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1918247.8%87 W · 95 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ff…bbe2backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.196544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Over51c173.84$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6629341%120 W · 173 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Over49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030032.3%97 W · 203 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over45c144.35$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.62,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Under53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5112143.8%53 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under66c140.68$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6831853.1%169 W · 149 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under63c124.88$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3929556.6%167 W · 128 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.61,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8367…2a2abacked Under52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.85054%27 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4918538.9%72 W · 113 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4833847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b28…7f1bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014042.1%59 W · 81 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d3…71cfbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4911939.5%47 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fd4…9cf7backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4815727.4%43 W · 114 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041339%161 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4821846.8%102 W · 116 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+61.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4818822.3%42 W · 146 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb185…48c1backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495253.8%28 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb61…d85cbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2334…9a9fbacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-49.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x024b…85cabacked Over49c99.76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.881952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over49c96.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4726246.9%123 W · 139 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under54c92.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3245548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa54…a251backed Over49c89.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4421654.6%118 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba56…140dbacked Under59c84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.55961%36 W · 23 L+8.6wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+36.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a18…a0f3backed Over37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027260.3%164 W · 108 L-0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Over48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.413054.6%71 W · 59 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb88e…cb19backed Under65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9211658.6%68 W · 48 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf9…229ebacked Under52c76.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.493745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddb…0c47backed Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.