TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x162c…6c47backed Over56c13,704$7,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,997.931850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Over55c12,500$6,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,625475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+125.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under59c9,955$5,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,870.671,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c7,189$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.574,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c3,596$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.336,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under45c3,464$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.5388635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ad…b017backed Over47c2,104$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under45c2,079$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.561844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x693a…1417backed Under15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b3…b35cbacked Under15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d2…399bbacked Under15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fba…fd69backed Under15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick18cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c1,613$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.2376842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c1,561$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.51,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Under37c1,560$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.21376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+42.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9517339.9%69 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45080953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under45c752.79$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.7559445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Over55c726.46$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.911471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under48c717.22$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.741,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a42…984abacked Under11c705.07$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.56540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+63.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over49c692.15$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.825940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…a91ebacked Under47c639.06$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under48c627.27$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under45c616.88$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.597361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under48c608.73$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.11580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c604.37$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9769851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d3…a939backed Over25c600$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over54c596.08$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.084170.7%29 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under8c595.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5977336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under45c555.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under3c546.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6611655.2%64 W · 52 L+13.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under3c522$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6796645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Over56c517.24$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under52c486.92$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under46c477$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4215547.1%73 W · 82 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x834d…0c31backed Under29c436$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4450%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c424.48$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.741,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under50c396.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under52c389.8$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.861414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under35c345.74$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.46333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under46c314.11$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.493043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Over63c288.05$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under15c240$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21833.3%6 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+56.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90b4…470dbacked Over56c227.27$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5a…4063backed Over26c189.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+91.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed Over65c188.55$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.991936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6109…0baabacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked Over56c172.41$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+49.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Over56c172.41$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked Over56c172.41$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Over56c172.41$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f3b…db03backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under45c156$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.27261.1%44 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea16…4bd8backed Over72c154.88$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e49…5166backed Over67c149.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over54c147.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.89887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.48per pick39cpaid+119.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Over57c131.26$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+34.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under54c125.66$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.065935.6%21 W · 38 L-10.8wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-45.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked Over48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c123.56$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.62,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over58c121.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0473258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under64c120.78$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.151952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ea6…eaaebacked Over54c119.98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under53c110$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.353134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815530.9%17 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Over21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over55c97.25$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7614144%62 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under28c92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7648950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Over54c90.91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over60c87.43$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9725550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Over57c86.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.071540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed Over56c86.2$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over50c83.29$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.618851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under59c81.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.879358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4455654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f6…dbfdbacked Under48c72.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over33c71.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under58c70.57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.749660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over55c69.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8410248%49 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Over56c60.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.551030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over35c54.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.396346%29 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under45c51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.951,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over33c49.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.327335.6%26 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x232f…8002backed Over43c45.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.98450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under57c42.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4828456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c6…1c5bbacked Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.674100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over54c40.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.586038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.62759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.