TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: Middlesbrough FC O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,116
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,116 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c2,016$1,006 inLost-$1,005.631,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb98…b473backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon+$1,0001154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c32$13 inLost-$12.86,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over60c32$19 inWon+$12.87057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Under46c23.95$11 inLost-$10.976346%29 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Over65c23.1$15 inWon+$8.0818651.6%96 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…f936backed Over64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.