Premier League · resolved market
Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe19ccf359cd10ea9fa38cb5741475f89b941ca24bbd474c02c971ec7deebe999
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 626.72$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.98 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 517.21$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.72 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 48c | 413.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.29 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…5d2ebacked Yes | 49c | 409.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 50c | 287.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.8 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 52c | 256.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.51 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 80c | 190.46$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 51c | 91.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 51c | 62.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 51c | 60.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 48c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 48c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 47c | 40.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 53c | 34.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 53c | 31.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 66c | 25.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed No | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: Lincoln City FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: Middlesbrough FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: Middlesbrough FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Lincoln City FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Lincoln City FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Lincoln City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.