Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5028604158b1a7b3abcbb4f227c00127cfd3de86dccf038e53b2990238e6fa78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lincoln City FCof Middlesbrough FC, Lincoln City FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Middlesbrough FC | 41c | 18,149$7,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,459.71 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lincoln City FC | 60c | 13,937$8,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,577.18 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 9,691$4,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,167.11 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Lincoln City FC | 57c | 5,272$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.93 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Lincoln City FC | 62c | 4,611$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Lincoln City FC | 65c | 2,928$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.5 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Middlesbrough FC | 38c | 1,733$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.63 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lincoln City FC | 57c | 1,615$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.57 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f8…0108backed Middlesbrough FC | 41c | 976$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Middlesbrough FC | 10c | 818.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…84cebacked Middlesbrough FC | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Middlesbrough FC | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Lincoln City FC | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Lincoln City FC | 73c | 548$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Lincoln City FC | 59c | 486$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Middlesbrough FC | 10c | 484.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Lincoln City FC | 59c | 406$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.05 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lincoln City FC | 53c | 302.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.75 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Middlesbrough FC | 42c | 299.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.39 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Lincoln City FC | 59c | 277.19$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Lincoln City FC | 59c | 257.52$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lincoln City FC | 57c | 167.07$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Middlesbrough FC | 38c | 155.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Lincoln City FC | 59c | 155.65$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lincoln City FC | 59c | 136.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Lincoln City FC | 59c | 117.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Middlesbrough FC | 42c | 113.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Lincoln City FC | 75c | 85.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Middlesbrough FC | 37c | 85.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 182 | 38.5%70 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Lincoln City FC | 59c | 84.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Lincoln City FC | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 41cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…cf3ebacked Lincoln City FC | 63c | 75.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Middlesbrough FC | 45c | 64.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Middlesbrough FC | 40c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Lincoln City FC | 69c | 60.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Middlesbrough FC | 42c | 59.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Lincoln City FC | 60c | 55.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Lincoln City FC | 73c | 53.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Lincoln City FC | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Lincoln City FC | 54c | 42.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9891…8949backed Lincoln City FC | 59c | 39.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Middlesbrough FC | 31c | 37.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Lincoln City FC | 58c | 31.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Lincoln City FC | 57c | 28.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked Middlesbrough FC | 43c | 27.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Middlesbrough FC | 40c | 25.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Middlesbrough FC | 49c | 23.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Lincoln City FC | 59c | 22.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Lincoln City FC | 59c | 21.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Lincoln City FC | 52c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: Lincoln City FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: Middlesbrough FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: Middlesbrough FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Lincoln City FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Lincoln City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.