TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Metsof New York Mets, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$614,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$654,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $614,365 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Los Angeles Angels50c320,293$158,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158,568.3321040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets50c240,362$120,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,926.5410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked New York Mets55c37,999$20,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,099.577755.8%43 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Los Angeles Angels44c26,105$11,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,486.3477053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets56c26,095$14,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,599.372,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked New York Mets54c25,960$13,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,007.0748850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed New York Mets79c24,304$19,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,203.52437.5%9 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-42.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed New York Mets56c14,497$8,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,440.3714943.6%65 W · 84 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets56c13,107$7,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,792.521,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Angels45c11,610$5,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,224.654,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Los Angeles Angels26c10,759$2,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8332360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Los Angeles Angels14c9,177$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.771,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Los Angeles Angels45c7,733$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,479.941,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked New York Mets56c7,397$4,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,256.018441.7%35 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Los Angeles Angels34c7,384$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50012227.9%34 W · 88 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3f…ac90backed Los Angeles Angels38c5,348$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.78650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+66.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Angels46c5,285$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,432.292,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Angels44c4,715$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.531,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed New York Mets56c4,464$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.2943554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets55c4,183$2,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.3612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets61c4,009$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.642,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked New York Mets56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76017853.4%95 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Los Angeles Angels45c3,983$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80028944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets59c3,771$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.191,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Los Angeles Angels45c3,112$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.48646.5%40 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets58c2,980$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.638,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels34c2,794$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.68,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Los Angeles Angels45c2,249$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.054944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets74c2,231$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.141,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Los Angeles Angels45c2,130$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.5255052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c23…0c74backed Los Angeles Angels10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1de3…a1fabacked Los Angeles Angels27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403020%6 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Los Angeles Angels38c1,840$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.981,14043%490 W · 650 L-37.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets55c1,780$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8011,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed New York Mets71c1,662$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.9125240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed New York Mets55c1,635$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.7511741.9%49 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets61c1,500$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5909,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Los Angeles Angels45c1,333$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014156%79 W · 62 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked New York Mets55c1,273$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.738053.8%43 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed New York Mets55c1,266$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.616947.3%80 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Los Angeles Angels45c1,089$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.021,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Los Angeles Angels46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets67c941.38$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.255,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Los Angeles Angels46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011941.2%49 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked New York Mets74c826.44$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.8716848.2%81 W · 87 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked New York Mets61c803.28$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.286456.3%36 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels45c800.06$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.836,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Los Angeles Angels32c800$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25311041.8%46 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels44c761.4$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.353,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed New York Mets78c743$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6647589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked New York Mets45c735.76$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.7619348.7%94 W · 99 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed New York Mets74c729.73$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7329948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets62c662.95$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.262,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Los Angeles Angels47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020552.7%108 W · 97 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Los Angeles Angels45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed New York Mets50c562.71$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.5537941.2%156 W · 223 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…3586backed Los Angeles Angels20c560.71$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed New York Mets54c555.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5519246.9%90 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb2b…e828backed Los Angeles Angels45c530.43$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24016844%74 W · 94 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked New York Mets69c474.74$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.171855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Los Angeles Angels41c447.6$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.339044.4%40 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd3…fed4backed New York Mets74c432.43$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.435959.3%35 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed New York Mets47c425.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.522,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed New York Mets53c425.28$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.8877951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Mets68c415$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.14,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked New York Mets53c404.56$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.721,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Los Angeles Angels46c399.99$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Los Angeles Angels45c384.91$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.784140.2%338 W · 503 L-3.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Mets47c384.47$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.771,91153.1%1,014 W · 897 L+43.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked New York Mets54c370.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3620848.1%100 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Los Angeles Angels44c365$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.644643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Los Angeles Angels45c364.01$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16550647%238 W · 268 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Los Angeles Angels45c354.51$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5320258.4%118 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed New York Mets68c354.47$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.43633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Los Angeles Angels45c342$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.91,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Los Angeles Angels45c331.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15052947.4%251 W · 278 L-24.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Los Angeles Angels46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15043247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed New York Mets66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0334550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Los Angeles Angels45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13559150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…e097backed New York Mets39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed New York Mets53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14169351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e3…b39ebacked New York Mets67c283.12$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.121442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets55c275.66$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.052,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Los Angeles Angels37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041549.2%204 W · 211 L+22.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Los Angeles Angels45c266.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12066551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd991…faeabacked Los Angeles Angels45c264.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12040449.3%199 W · 205 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed New York Mets46c251$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6778649.1%386 W · 400 L+3.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x851c…dafdbacked Los Angeles Angels4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Mets53c248.04$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.581,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed Los Angeles Angels20c245$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492548%12 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Los Angeles Angels45c232.32$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10567449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Los Angeles Angels46c232$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7217058.2%99 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Los Angeles Angels18c230.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9933515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Los Angeles Angels29c229.45$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5410719.6%21 W · 86 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed New York Mets78c227.19$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.141,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a0a…75acbacked Los Angeles Angels45c225.57$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9546546%214 W · 251 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b6b…6b56backed Los Angeles Angels45c223$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.352937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Los Angeles Angels45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021856%122 W · 96 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Los Angeles Angels45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056946.9%267 W · 302 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Los Angeles Angels32c216.42$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6119442.3%82 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.