MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a974a0adafe5a80fc2b177eaa9fb5abd11aa78f660d6b9f3b9dd9cb9f89a892
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Minnesota Twins, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $488,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $479,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 101,748$52,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,974.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 55,555$26,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,666.39 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,999.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 32,000$15,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,679.96 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Twins | 35c | 28,586$9,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,878 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 27,409$14,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,882.13 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 14,935$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,318.06 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 14,002$7,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720.96 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 10,165$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.23 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 10,000$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 9,280$5,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,874.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 6,341$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974.13 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 6,198$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.11 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 5,500$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 13c | 4,889$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.33 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Washington Nationals | 63c | 4,771$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.7 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 4,660$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.22 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 4,487$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.77 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 4,336$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.43 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 3,709$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.36 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 3,500$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 3,476$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.93 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 3,330$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.33 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 3,322$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.48 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 3,285$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 26c | 2,768$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.56 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 2,174$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.87 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Washington Nationals | 80c | 2,022$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.67 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 2,018$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.81 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,995$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.64 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 1,890$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.4 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,687$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.48 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,643$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.64 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Minnesota Twins | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d28…6d7abacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,501$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Minnesota Twins | 8c | 1,414$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 1,375$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.5 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,357$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.22 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,329$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.96 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,200$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.02 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Minnesota Twins | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 1,085$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.11 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,050$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.32 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,009$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.67 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 999.97$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Minnesota Twins | 20c | 951.4$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 946.67$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.47 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 873.9$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.47 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…3203backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 772.6$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.31 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 769.98$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.19 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 29c | 760.92$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.88 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 694$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.06 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 650.02$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Minnesota Twins | 66c | 617.78$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 587$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.7 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 580$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 563.83$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.26 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 547.45$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.83 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Minnesota Twins | 25c | 521.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 500$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.18 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 482.46$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.39 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 480$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 451.78$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.91 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 446.79$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.57 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 442.42$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.48 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 441.83$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.12 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe201…9c49backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 440.59$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 439.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.87 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 421$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.87 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 407.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.94 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 401$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.53 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 365.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 355.64$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Minnesota Twins | 14c | 351.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 332$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 317.77$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 317.39$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.87 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 307.59$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.43 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 305.88$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Washington Nationals | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Washington Nationals | 72c | 295.03$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Twins | 18c | 285.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 13.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.