MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x056ddc9c33ef3fd508d0fe37381a2a160b325bd21006a5ad6adfe9656bc66d47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 55c | 115,355$63,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,388.44 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 100,000$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 14,084$6,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,811.85 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 54c | 11,218$6,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,057.6 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 56c | 8,956$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 8,915$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992.36 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Over | 46c | 4,304$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.35 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 3,928$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.12 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 47c | 3,238$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.3 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 47c | 3,222$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.02 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 46c | 3,167$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.71 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 44c | 2,268$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.91 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 48c | 2,019$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.65 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 53c | 2,009$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.4 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Over | 44c | 1,650$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Under | 60c | 1,491$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 52c | 1,479$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.08 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 45c | 1,344$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.17 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 48c | 1,328$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.68 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 1,220$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.55 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 3c | 1,125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Under | 54c | 1,121$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.6 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 55c | 901.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 44c | 795$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.2 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 56c | 753.98$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.23 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Under | 54c | 749.61$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.79 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 45c | 678.17$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.99 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 54c | 649$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.46 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 54c | 450$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 47c | 424.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.48 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 365.16$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 46c | 339.16$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.59 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 337.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.89 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Over | 46c | 327.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 60c | 299$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.02 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 53c | 288.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.16 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 56c | 277.69$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.27 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Under | 56c | 269.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 56c | 223.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 47c | 222.56$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Under | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 54c | 169.41$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 43c | 145.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 48c | 133$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 55c | 132.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 46c | 119.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed Over | 46c | 108.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…5693backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 21c | 91.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 46c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 55c | 73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…e155backed Under | 54c | 64.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Over | 47c | 64.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 45c | 64.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Over | 47c | 63.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Over | 47c | 57.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 56c | 53.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed Under | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 26c | 46.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Under | 24c | 46.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Under | 54c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Under | 56c | 44.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Under | 46c | 43.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…059cbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 55c | 43.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Over | 67c | 40.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 66 | 84.8%56 W · 10 L | +15.1wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3903…1db6backed Under | 55c | 39.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 41c | 38.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…4b14backed Under | 55c | 37.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 36.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…5c55backed Under | 55c | 36.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…0ccfbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 43c | 32.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 46c | 30.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 13.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.