Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Diane Parry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64cce50d62a844361269581af6f3a3be0880698f721dbb2262fc0825c63a7145
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iga Swiatekof Iga Swiatek, Diane Parry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Diane Parry | 6c | 20,442$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.32 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Diane Parry | 2c | 18,739$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.53 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Diane Parry | 2c | 12,473$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.63 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Diane Parry | 1c | 11,470$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Diane Parry | 6c | 10,219$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.13 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Diane Parry | 5c | 6,000$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.98 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Diane Parry | 4c | 5,626$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Diane Parry | 9c | 5,465$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.78 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Diane Parry | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Diane Parry | 5c | 4,967$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.1 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Diane Parry | 6c | 3,717$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.03 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Diane Parry | 9c | 3,001$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.05 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Diane Parry | 3c | 2,836$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Diane Parry | 5c | 2,121$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…1b50backed Diane Parry | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Diane Parry | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Diane Parry | 6c | 1,979$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.94 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Diane Parry | 11c | 1,800$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8713…196bbacked Diane Parry | 5c | 1,693$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Diane Parry | 3c | 1,648$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Diane Parry | 15c | 1,609$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Diane Parry | 5c | 1,527$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Diane Parry | 1c | 1,345$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…fc98backed Diane Parry | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Diane Parry | 6c | 1,211$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Diane Parry | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…5fa9backed Diane Parry | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Diane Parry | 14c | 999.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Diane Parry | 4c | 909.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Diane Parry | 3c | 770.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Diane Parry | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Diane Parry | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Diane Parry | 3c | 671.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Diane Parry | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Diane Parry | 16c | 626.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Diane Parry | 3c | 554$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 353 | 57.2%202 W · 151 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Diane Parry | 4c | 536.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Diane Parry | 7c | 528.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7cffbacked Diane Parry | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Diane Parry | 5c | 474.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…83c2backed Diane Parry | 7c | 409.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 201 | 28.4%57 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259e…9637backed Diane Parry | 5c | 291.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Diane Parry | 4c | 270.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Diane Parry | 7c | 258.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 507 | 36.1%183 W · 324 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Diane Parry | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed Diane Parry | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…667dbacked Diane Parry | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 68.8%161 W · 73 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Diane Parry | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Diane Parry | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Diane Parry | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Diane Parrythis page
- Set 1 Winner: Swiatek vs ParrySwiatek won
- Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Parry (+1.5)Swiatek won
- Swiatek vs. Parry: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.