WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd778da7bb21239d26447b004dbbe1cc3a391ee1c19b77ae99413eb241ca837a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Phoenix Mercury, Atlanta Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 31,289$13,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,673.22 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc4…4730backed Atlanta Dream | 66c | 20,329$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,928.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 17,812$5,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,521.87 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 37c | 7,535$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,752.81 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 6,227$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.73 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Dream | 34c | 6,185$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,057.73 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phoenix Mercury | 0c | 5,612$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Atlanta Dream | 39c | 4,850$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.74 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Atlanta Dream | 67c | 3,303$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.51 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Atlanta Dream | 33c | 2,985$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Atlanta Dream | 38c | 2,647$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.34 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 2,627$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.94 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 1,858$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.19 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 1,791$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.86 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Dream | 33c | 1,703$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.13 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 1,697$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.94 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Atlanta Dream | 78c | 1,567$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.11 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 32c | 1,496$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.09 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Dream | 43c | 1,427$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.35 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Atlanta Dream | 3c | 1,374$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.13 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Atlanta Dream | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.39 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Atlanta Dream | 24c | 1,003$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.19 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Phoenix Mercury | 67c | 997.65$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Atlanta Dream | 68c | 920.59$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.59 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Atlanta Dream | 37c | 895.38$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.09 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Dream | 38c | 769.77$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.39 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 759.97$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.79 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…e1a1backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Atlanta Dream | 44c | 733$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6858…7d47backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 720$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 609.55$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.51 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Atlanta Dream | 35c | 602.17$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.99 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Phoenix Mercury | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta Dream | 22c | 591.39$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.04 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Atlanta Dream | 65c | 575.92$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.57 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atlanta Dream | 28c | 566.62$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.93 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Atlanta Dream | 64c | 499.36$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.36 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 492.74$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.94 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 463.05$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 414.42$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.84 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 404$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.61 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Atlanta Dream | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Atlanta Dream | 38c | 378$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.36 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 6c | 373.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Atlanta Dream | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Atlanta Dream | 62c | 364.73$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.06 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Dream | 55c | 361.82$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.55 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Phoenix Mercury | 64c | 360.63$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…667dbacked Atlanta Dream | 66c | 335.95$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.22 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atlanta Dream | 45c | 330.3$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.86 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 319$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Dream | 68c | 312$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Atlanta Dream | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 253.33$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.12 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 252.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 245.45$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…bb68backed Atlanta Dream | 7c | 238.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.48 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Atlanta Dream | 68c | 220.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 194.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Atlanta Dream | 38c | 177.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 177$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Atlanta Dream | 38c | 167.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Atlanta Dream | 68c | 165.55$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Atlanta Dream | 31c | 161.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…e41bbacked Atlanta Dream | 37c | 160.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Phoenix Mercury | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Atlanta Dream | 35c | 151.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Phoenix Mercury | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atlanta Dream | 22c | 149.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.93 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…4d8bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 67c | 141.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Phoenix Mercury | 73c | 136.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…f595backed Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 130.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Atlanta Dream | 69c | 127.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Atlanta Dream | 26c | 126.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e43…afabbacked Phoenix Mercury | 60c | 114.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed Atlanta Dream | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 110.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 105.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Atlanta Dream | 30c | 100.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Atlanta Dream | 66c | 100.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 99.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Atlanta Dream | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Atlanta Dream | 46c | 93.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Atlanta Dream | 32c | 92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 84.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Atlanta Dream | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 76.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -10.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…7e3dbacked Atlanta Dream | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 69c | 73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Atlanta Dream | 38c | 73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Atlanta Dream | 31c | 71.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 63.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Atlanta Dream | 35c | 63.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 61.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Atlanta Dream | 38c | 52.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dreamthis page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 167.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.