Tennis · resolved market
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Filip Peliwo vs Ivan Marrero
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aab0ec2619fc5d2f38ad52ecb9cc8dc1968ec9fbb1548d00dc0f9a5c3b7b792
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivan Marreroof Filip Peliwo, Ivan Marrero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Filip Peliwo | 31c | 16,883$5,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,233.87 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ivan Marrero | 70c | 11,226$7,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.82 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ivan Marrero | 70c | 5,244$3,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Filip Peliwo | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Filip Peliwo | 32c | 759.72$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ivan Marrero | 68c | 725.01$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.25 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Filip Peliwo | 6c | 619.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Ivan Marrero | 72c | 545$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.6 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Filip Peliwo | 9c | 518.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked Filip Peliwo | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Filip Peliwo | 14c | 348.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb292…40c2backed Filip Peliwo | 24c | 338.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383e…45f0backed Filip Peliwo | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…dde4backed Filip Peliwo | 31c | 240.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Filip Peliwo | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Ivan Marrero | 69c | 178.54$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Filip Peliwo | 21c | 162.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Filip Peliwo | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Filip Peliwo | 8c | 155.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Filip Peliwo | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Filip Peliwo | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Filip Peliwo | 26c | 128$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Ivan Marrero | 73c | 123.79$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…f8e6backed Ivan Marrero | 80c | 123.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Filip Peliwo | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Ivan Marrero | 76c | 99.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Filip Peliwo | 22c | 94.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Filip Peliwo | 22c | 87.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Ivan Marrero | 80c | 60.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Filip Peliwo | 20c | 59.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Ivan Marrero | 72c | 57.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Filip Peliwo | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Ivan Marrero | 68c | 34.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Ivan Marrero | 70c | 32.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ivan Marrero | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…cc2ebacked Ivan Marrero | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Ivan Marrero | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Ivan Marrero | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Ivan Marrero | 80c | 25.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Ivan Marrero | 77c | 22.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Ivan Marrero | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 372 | 66.7%248 W · 124 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Ivan Marrero | 79c | 18.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Ivan Marrero | 69c | 18.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ivan Marrero | 77c | 17.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Ivan Marrero | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…256dbacked Ivan Marrero | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.