TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Lexington: Moez Echargui vs Spencer Johnson

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spencer Johnsonof Moez Echargui, Spencer Johnson
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,002

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,095 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe55a…ecf7backed Spencer Johnson61c19,724$12,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,612.241650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Moez Echargui40c8,791$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,516.583,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Moez Echargui37c5,849$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.7311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Moez Echargui37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.953,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Spencer Johnson63c3,735$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.9711850%59 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…a2d1backed Spencer Johnson63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.68957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Moez Echargui39c2,889$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.228,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spencer Johnson72c2,201$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.988,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Moez Echargui38c2,105$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Moez Echargui13c2,033$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.064,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Moez Echargui38c1,842$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Moez Echargui31c1,523$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.2467239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Moez Echargui32c1,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40032637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Moez Echargui37c800$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29667144.7%300 W · 371 L+30.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Spencer Johnson62c627.18$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.336450%32 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Spencer Johnson56c602.75$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.934,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Spencer Johnson63c521.62$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1933,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb347…5166backed Spencer Johnson64c513.7$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9321955.3%121 W · 98 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…e183backed Moez Echargui37c481.08$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1781250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Moez Echargui36c451.56$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5611646.6%54 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Spencer Johnson64c390.62$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.622,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Moez Echargui37c362.43$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.11,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Moez Echargui36c282.77$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8592237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Moez Echargui39c257.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027949.1%137 W · 142 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Moez Echargui30c252.82$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.853,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Spencer Johnson64c252.36$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.084,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Moez Echargui37c240$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.81,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Moez Echargui42c209.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1963537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb550…2799backed Moez Echargui38c197.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Spencer Johnson56c191.34$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3440161.1%245 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Spencer Johnson63c190.48$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4810140.6%41 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Moez Echargui17c179.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.633754%182 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Moez Echargui37c179$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2330648.4%148 W · 158 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Spencer Johnson56c155.74$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.092,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Moez Echargui36c147.93$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.251,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…1306backed Moez Echargui37c143.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Moez Echargui37c143$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9172638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Spencer Johnson63c139.98$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7930644.1%135 W · 171 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Moez Echargui38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013247%62 W · 70 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Spencer Johnson63c111.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1128255%155 W · 127 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Moez Echargui22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Moez Echargui37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Moez Echargui36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Moez Echargui47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Moez Echargui37c96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5211144.1%49 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Spencer Johnson63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.372552%13 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed Moez Echargui37c76.53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3213053.8%70 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Moez Echargui32c70.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.681,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Moez Echargui34c66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.561,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Moez Echargui40c64.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.642,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed Spencer Johnson63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.493748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Spencer Johnson63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.492347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Spencer Johnson63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.491266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95f1…6e6fbacked Moez Echargui32c56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9211338.9%44 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b3e…6c17backed Moez Echargui31c53.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3114953.7%80 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Spencer Johnson53c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9185748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Moez Echargui37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Spencer Johnson60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2092554.8%507 W · 418 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Moez Echargui43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.511929.4%35 W · 84 L-17.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked Spencer Johnson63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.623060%18 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Spencer Johnson62c47.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0255347.6%263 W · 290 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Moez Echargui37c46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0213648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Moez Echargui38c44.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0765259.4%387 W · 265 L+31.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Moez Echargui38c41.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6918459.8%110 W · 74 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x472e…f338backed Moez Echargui37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Moez Echargui29c40.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.744138.8%171 W · 270 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03a9…77e3backed Spencer Johnson63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Spencer Johnson79c39.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4695050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Moez Echargui38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519256.8%109 W · 83 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Moez Echargui38c37.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3545751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Spencer Johnson66c37.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5342946.4%199 W · 230 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Spencer Johnson60c34.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6758665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Moez Echargui37c32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.845158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed Spencer Johnson63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751675%12 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+41.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x65a4…1963backed Spencer Johnson64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.254257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Spencer Johnson63c25.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.561,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…6fe4backed Spencer Johnson63c23.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Spencer Johnson75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Spencer Johnson71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.870254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Spencer Johnson71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.969047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Spencer Johnson63c19.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.215750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff6…0918backed Spencer Johnson62c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9249857%284 W · 214 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7488…9cfbbacked Spencer Johnson64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.