Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe23d1a6d9703b0045fb42cc0dcca08d224ae64f4316aa72f8b1ae10633ecc17e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex de Minaurof James Duckworth, Alex de Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $445,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $556,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $445,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed James Duckworth | 11c | 20,690$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.91 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked James Duckworth | 11c | 20,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed James Duckworth | 11c | 15,718$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.22 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed James Duckworth | 5c | 12,468$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.46 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed James Duckworth | 10c | 10,335$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.18 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed James Duckworth | 19c | 8,750$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.81 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed James Duckworth | 11c | 7,189$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.78 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked James Duckworth | 11c | 6,818$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed James Duckworth | 11c | 5,909$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed James Duckworth | 11c | 4,403$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.33 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed James Duckworth | 7c | 3,390$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.62 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…d984backed James Duckworth | 8c | 2,942$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed James Duckworth | 11c | 2,513$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.43 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed James Duckworth | 1c | 2,314$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked James Duckworth | 9c | 1,933$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.77 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed James Duckworth | 8c | 1,913$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.14 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed James Duckworth | 11c | 1,704$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.46 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed James Duckworth | 11c | 1,600$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alex de Minaur | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked James Duckworth | 12c | 1,483$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.96 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed James Duckworth | 6c | 1,402$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked James Duckworth | 11c | 1,250$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked James Duckworth | 18c | 1,130$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed James Duckworth | 10c | 1,010$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a1…1c2ebacked James Duckworth | 2c | 991.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked James Duckworth | 18c | 978.2$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.91 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed James Duckworth | 9c | 865.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed James Duckworth | 9c | 826.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed James Duckworth | 8c | 794.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed James Duckworth | 15c | 789.54$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked James Duckworth | 11c | 755$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked James Duckworth | 10c | 708.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed James Duckworth | 4c | 662.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Alex de Minaur | 75c | 610.65$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.66 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked James Duckworth | 12c | 600.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed James Duckworth | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked James Duckworth | 9c | 599.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed James Duckworth | 9c | 532.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed James Duckworth | 13c | 462.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked James Duckworth | 6c | 437.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…c129backed James Duckworth | 10c | 431.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed James Duckworth | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed James Duckworth | 10c | 385.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed James Duckworth | 13c | 384.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed James Duckworth | 12c | 376$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed James Duckworth | 11c | 372.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked James Duckworth | 18c | 334.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked James Duckworth | 13c | 251.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed James Duckworth | 15c | 249.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed James Duckworth | 8c | 247.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked James Duckworth | 12c | 245.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed James Duckworth | 5c | 238.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed James Duckworth | 11c | 230.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed James Duckworth | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed James Duckworth | 11c | 203.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Alex de Minaur | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked James Duckworth | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 225 | 40.4%91 W · 134 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f06…2281backed James Duckworth | 6c | 182.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed James Duckworth | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed James Duckworth | 11c | 176$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked James Duckworth | 11c | 119.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked James Duckworth | 11c | 117$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked James Duckworth | 13c | 113.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed James Duckworth | 13c | 113.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed James Duckworth | 11c | 105$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked James Duckworth | 11c | 101$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed James Duckworth | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked James Duckworth | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked James Duckworth | 11c | 90.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed James Duckworth | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Alex de Minaur | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Alex de Minaur | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 220 | 50.9%112 W · 108 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Alex de Minaur | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaurthis page
- Set 2 Winner: Duckworth vs MinaurMinaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.