MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71d19cbb92c3372a23b1ad818fa5c5f7f2258ee9836ae3e2b62c5e4200a4976e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Los Angeles Angels, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 3,746$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.15 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 2,798$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.12 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 2,094$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.82 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 2,053$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.56 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,432$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.26 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 1,371$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.24 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 1,237$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.32 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 1,120$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.72 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 987.4$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 955.69$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.1 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 890.9$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.08 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 646$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.53 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 353.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.68 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 276.92$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.46 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 269.06$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 155.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 149.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 135.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 25c | 132$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Los Angeles Angels | 70c | 119.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 90.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 82.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…d77abacked Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 77.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 63.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Los Angeles Angels | 75c | 59.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 94 | 73.4%69 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 59.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 59.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 57.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 50.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 46.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Los Angeles Angels | 77c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 20.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 19.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.