MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fcf3712d15c811d64f890ba0b29d0a6ac427c7bbf4193429efb5503f5ec1209
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Tampa Bay Rays, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.97 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 6,527$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,197.17 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 5,036$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.36 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 4,937$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.85 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 1,964$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 72c | 827.15$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.95 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 701.9$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.95 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 602.11$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.22 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 497.3$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.68 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 348.24$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.12 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Tampa Bay Rays | 19c | 299.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 217.65$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 25c | 209.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 200.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 187.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tampa Bay Rays | 14c | 184.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Los Angeles Angels | 80c | 124.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 117$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 103.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 95.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 75.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Los Angeles Angels | 80c | 52.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 45.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 43.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 39.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…622fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 36.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 35.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 26.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 20.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…6d66backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.