MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22b217233b4ef9edefc8b02302101a2d930619f9c0343ee6caae158a63f16816
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 46c | 21,762$10,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,751.38 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 54c | 13,818$7,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,480.01 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Under | 46c | 5,257$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.52 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 54c | 5,220$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Under | 42c | 3,522$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.22 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 57c | 2,777$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.76 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 1,488$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.82 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 1,233$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.94 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 26c | 1,147$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.83 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f34…b8f2backed Under | 45c | 997.78$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.78 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.35per pick | 42cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 884.8$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 73c | 542.3$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.32 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 54c | 428.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.65 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 315.49$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 308.85$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 46c | 283.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.01 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 31c | 265$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 39c | 261.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.58 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 57c | 227.01$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.77 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 54c | 212.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Under | 34c | 209$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…f4ddbacked Under | 52c | 172.85$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 172.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Over | 55c | 172.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 45c | 167.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 162.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 148.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 11c | 135.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 38c | 134.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 66c | 118$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 46c | 117.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…07a6backed Under | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 37c | 104.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Over | 69c | 102.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 37c | 88.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 55c | 84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 72c | 69.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 73c | 65.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 48c | 61.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 55c | 60.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Over | 55c | 53.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 37c | 52.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 46.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Over | 49c | 46.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…c784backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Over | 47c | 34.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Over | 53c | 33.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed Over | 53c | 33.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Over | 53c | 32.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…dc88backed Under | 45c | 32.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Under | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…34f5backed Over | 75c | 21.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 55c | 20.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.