MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52617b41c8b0d8ea6bef4840eea3b6ccd73759e927e58120bc5f4af5fafca478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 49c | 3,832$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.74 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 3,361$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.4 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Over | 41c | 2,037$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.92 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 1,058$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 59c | 1,021$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.56 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 59c | 691.99$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.8 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 22c | 608.23$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 40c | 331.01$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.05 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 71c | 270.69$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 79c | 268.63$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Under | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 52c | 247.77$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 59c | 224$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 46c | 127.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 43c | 118.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 68c | 115.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 30c | 109.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 51c | 109.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 49c | 100.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 42c | 91.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 43c | 87.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 64c | 84.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 43c | 80.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed Over | 42c | 77.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 61c | 68.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Under | 56c | 48.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Under | 51c | 43.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…5dd2backed Under | 58c | 42.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 57c | 40.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 40.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 65c | 37.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb649…e8b2backed Over | 43c | 35.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Under | 42c | 35.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 59c | 33.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 1,013 | 50.3%510 W · 503 L | +51.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 76c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Over | 52c | 29.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Over | 52c | 29.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed Over | 52c | 29.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Under | 64c | 29.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Over | 52c | 29.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 40c | 27.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Under | 44c | 27.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 43c | 25.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 74c | 20.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…d77abacked Under | 58c | 19.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6cf7backed Under | 63c | 18.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 252 | 60.7%153 W · 99 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Over | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.