MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe10bf4455a55f9b0bc365e1cd4fcfef1b22695d2f73e5f0a126269ffcdc26f62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Los Angeles Angels, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 6,029$3,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.47 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 4,891$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.74 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 4,177$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.46 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 2,206$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.47 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 1,515$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.58 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 1,172$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.09 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Los Angeles Angels | 19c | 1,058$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 693.98$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.74 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 468.3$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 375.77$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.79 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 356.49$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 351.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 33c | 320.89$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.14 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 249.75$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 169.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 147.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 147.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 145.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 99.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Angels | 13c | 90.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Angels | 34c | 78.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 73.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 70.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 70.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 62.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…a27cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 52.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Los Angeles Angels | 33c | 51.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…d18fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 25c | 51.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -90%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 49.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 25c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 43.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 38.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 30.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 22.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 22.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 19.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94af…8989backed Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 19.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.