Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zheng (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbae8686ea52800082ef3f4b9b8aff83996a64d27347b883444aa10b8ea2d373a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ealaof Zheng, Eala
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9909…311cbacked Zheng | 0c | 11,627$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Eala | 68c | 4,857$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.43 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Zheng | 33c | 3,080$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.23 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zheng | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Zheng | 34c | 1,519$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Eala | 65c | 1,306$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.98 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Eala | 66c | 1,194$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.94 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Eala | 45c | 757.22$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.51 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Zheng | 35c | 599.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.3 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Eala | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…f856backed Eala | 66c | 212.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Eala | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zheng | 32c | 189.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Zheng | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Eala | 33c | 160.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.35 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Eala | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Zheng | 44c | 115.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Zheng | 37c | 115.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Zheng | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Eala | 66c | 97.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffb6…5255backed Eala | 64c | 96.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed Zheng | 44c | 96.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Zheng | 37c | 89.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Eala | 66c | 76.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Eala | 61c | 62.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Eala | 65c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Zheng | 37c | 53.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Eala | 63c | 47.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Eala | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Zheng | 34c | 37.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed Eala | 66c | 37.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…e2f7backed Eala | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…d5e9backed Eala | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Eala | 34c | 29.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…8eefbacked Eala | 63c | 28.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Eala | 66c | 28.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed Eala | 66c | 25.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…9143backed Eala | 66c | 25.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…b8ebbacked Eala | 64c | 24.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…0af9backed Eala | 66c | 22.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…e104backed Eala | 66c | 22.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Eala | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zheng (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)this page
- Eala vs. Zheng: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen ZhengAlexandra Eala won
- Set 1 Winner: Eala vs ZhengZheng won
- Set 2 Winner: Eala vs ZhengEala won
- Set Handicap: Eala (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)Zheng won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.