MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2086cb8bcf6db13103730a6ac44328c70da85079761dc0455c84be3a3d657d5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof St. Louis Cardinals, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $554,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $544,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $554,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 32c | 61,487$19,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,014.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 54,639$24,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,041.19 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 36,000$20,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,840 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 31,930$12,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,088.2 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 80c | 30,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 17,350$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.5 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 16,258$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 12,546$6,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,642.85 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 11,556$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,455.23 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 9,900$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,148.5 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 8,875$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,395.33 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 7,429$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.6 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 16c | 6,750$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.69 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 5,896$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.83 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 5,702$3,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.57 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Minnesota Twins | 29c | 5,056$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.95 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 4,926$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 4,551$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.13 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 4,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 4,306$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.56 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 3,845$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.99 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…41f3backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 3,736$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 3,035$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.19 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 3,003$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.1 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 2,974$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 2,930$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.14 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 2,893$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 2,842$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.23 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Minnesota Twins | 72c | 2,751$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.17 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 2,702$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.94 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 2,667$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 2,443$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.23 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 71c | 2,249$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.69 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 2,213$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.74 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 2,202$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.14 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 68c | 2,139$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.73 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,019$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.5 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Minnesota Twins | 30c | 1,961$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.53 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 1,952$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.5 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,932$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.49 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,875$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.97 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 1,769$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.36 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Minnesota Twins | 74c | 1,673$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.4 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,441$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.21 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Minnesota Twins | 20c | 1,408$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.46 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 1,400$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Minnesota Twins | 16c | 1,326$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.82 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,283$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.53 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 1,222$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.24 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,186$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.46 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 1,135$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.66 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 1,078$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 1,044$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.01 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,038$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,023$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.36 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,012$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.06 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 999.91$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.96 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 10c | 928.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Minnesota Twins | 25c | 854.79$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.99 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 823.19$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.07 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Minnesota Twins | 72c | 811.11$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.11 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 807.51$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.76 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 783.18$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.45 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 767.92$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 743.17$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.08 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 696.43$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.43 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 678.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.66 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4efe…d987backed Minnesota Twins | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 650$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.5 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 632$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.19 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 619.84$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.32 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 615.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.08 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 605.05$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.22 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 600$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 584.91$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…f161backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 551.18$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.23 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 540.52$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.15 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 540$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 532.71$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.39 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 531.5$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.44 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5c…384abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 529.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 516.45$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.11 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 511.2$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.16 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 506.15$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.77 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 505.68$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.29 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.